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Internacional (Brasil)
Copa Libertadores | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Aug 9, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio Jose Pinheiro Borda

Internacional
3 - 1
River Plate

Mercado (70'), Patrick (78')
Aranguiz (58'), Vitao (63'), Wanderson (65'), Patrick (81'), Rochet (86')
FT
(aet)
Rojas (90')
Armani (53'), Solari (58'), Gonzalez Pirez (77')
Internacional win 9-8 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Internacional and River Plate, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We say: Internacional 1-1 River Plate (River Plate win 3-2 on aggregate)

The River Plate backline have left a lot to be desired at the Libertadores this year, but they seem to be able to put it all together in these knockout stage affairs, and we believe their dynamic attack and experience in these big games will carry them into the next round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 37.23%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 37.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (6.13%). The likeliest River Plate win was 0-1 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%).

Result
InternacionalDrawRiver Plate
37.23% (0.024999999999999 0.02) 25.75% (0.011000000000003 0.01) 37.02% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Both teams to score 55.12% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.95% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)49.05% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.87% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)71.13% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Internacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.3% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)25.7% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.38% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)60.62% (0.012 0.01)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.18% (-0.039999999999992 -0.04)25.82% (0.041 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.22% (-0.055 -0.05)60.78% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Internacional 37.23%
    River Plate 37.02%
    Draw 25.74%
InternacionalDrawRiver Plate
1-0 @ 9.02% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.29% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 6.13% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.76%
3-0 @ 2.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.54% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-1 @ 1.28%
4-0 @ 0.94% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 37.23%
1-1 @ 12.2%
0-0 @ 6.64% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.61% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.74%
0-1 @ 8.99% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.26% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.08% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 3.73% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.75% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.53% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 0.93% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 37.02%

How you voted: Internacional vs River Plate

Internacional
12.5%
Draw
25.0%
River Plate
62.5%
8
Head to Head
Aug 2, 2023 1am
Round of 16 1st Leg
River Plate
2-1
Internacional
Solari (65', 79')
Fernandez (28'), Gonzalez Pirez (45')
Valencia (45+1')
Bustos (20'), Mercado (56'), Aranguiz (62'), Cardoso (69'), Henrique (90+2')
May 8, 2019 1.30am
Group Stage
River Plate
2-2
Internacional
Alvarez (35'), Pratto (93')
Lollo (58'), Pratto (80')
Sobis (44', 59')
Sobis (44'), Moledo (94'), Cuesta (94')
Apr 3, 2019 11.15pm
Group Stage
Internacional
2-2
River Plate
Lopez (18'), Edenilson (31')
D'Alessandro (39'), Edenilson (41'), Lopez (45'), Dourado (71')
Pratto (42' pen.), De La Cruz (61')
Martinez (29'), De La Cruz (65'), Montiel (69'), Mayada (94')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City36267391335885
2Arsenal36265588286083
3Liverpool36239481384378
4Aston Villa36207973532067
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs361961171591263
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle361761379572257
7Chelsea361691173611257
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd35166135255-354
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham371410135971-1252
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton361212125458-448
11Bournemouth37139155365-1248
12Crystal Palace371210155258-646
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves37137175063-1346
14Fulham37128175159-844
15Everton37139153949-1040
16Brentford37109185461-739
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3789204766-1929
18Luton TownLuton3768235081-3126
RBurnley3759234076-3624
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd37372735101-6616


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