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Chinese Super League | Gameweek 17
Jul 16, 2023 at 12.35pm UK
Workers' Stadium
Wuhan Three Towns

Beijing Guoan
1 - 1
Wuhan TT

Hao (15')
Bai (13'), Dabao (28'), Ngadeu-Ngadjui (35')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Li (81')
Chao (45+2'), Li (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Chinese Super League clash between Beijing Guoan and Wuhan Three Towns, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Meizhou Hakka 3-1 Beijing Guoan
Wednesday, July 12 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Shanghai Port 3-1 Wuhan TT
Wednesday, July 12 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League

We said: Beijing Guoan 2-2 Wuhan Three Towns

Despite playing most of the last match with 10 men, Wuhan Three Towns attacked the game as best as they could and were trading blows with their opponents up to the sending off. Beijing Guoan are also a side that likes playing front-foot football, and it would not be surprising to see a handful of goals fly in here. The visitors were building up a head of steam leading up to their last match and should give a much better account of themselves here, while the hosts will play their usual attacking brand of football. We feel they will cancel each other out in a high-scoring affair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 40.81%. A win for Beijing Guoan had a probability of 35.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.4%) and 0-2 (5.92%). The likeliest Beijing Guoan win was 2-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Beijing GuoanDrawWuhan Three Towns
35.27% (-0.136 -0.14) 23.91% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04) 40.81% (0.175 0.18)
Both teams to score 61.53% (0.119 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.32% (0.165 0.16)40.68% (-0.169 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.94% (0.17 0.17)63.06% (-0.173 -0.17)
Beijing Guoan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.08% (0.0019999999999953 0)22.92% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.32% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)56.68% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Wuhan Three Towns Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.83% (0.14999999999999 0.15)20.17% (-0.153 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.53% (0.239 0.24)52.46% (-0.241 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Beijing Guoan 35.27%
    Wuhan Three Towns 40.81%
    Draw 23.91%
Beijing GuoanDrawWuhan Three Towns
2-1 @ 8.03% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-0 @ 6.81% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-0 @ 5.02% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.95% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.16% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.46% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.45% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 0.91% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 35.27%
1-1 @ 10.9% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.43% (0.012 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.62% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.69% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.91%
1-2 @ 8.73% (0.016 0.02)
0-1 @ 7.4% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.92% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.66% (0.03 0.03)
2-3 @ 3.43% (0.023 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.16% (0.02 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.86% (0.021 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.37% (0.015 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.27% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 40.81%

Head to Head
Apr 20, 2023 12.35pm
Nov 8, 2022 11.30am
Gameweek 24
Beijing Guoan
0-2
Wuhan TT
Deng (45+1'), Ademilson (90+5' pen.)
Aug 12, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 12
Wuhan TT
5-1
Beijing Guoan
Marcao (6', 20', 50', 61'), Davidson (68')
Marcao (12')
Zhang (45+1')
Cao (25'), Chengdong (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Shanghai ShenhuaSh. Shenhua108202542126
2Shanghai PortShanghai Port96302781921
3Beijing GuoanBeijing Guoan10631168821
4Chengdu RongchengChengdu106131710719
5Shandong TaishanShandong105321813518
6Tianjin Jinmen TigerTianjin Jinmen104241612414
7Cangzhou Mighty LionsCangzhou104241520-514
8Zhejiang ProfessionalZhejiang104151217-513
9Wuhan Three TownsWuhan TT103341316-312
10HenanHenan102441319-610
11Qingdao Youth Island10235917-89
12Sichuan JiuniuSichuan102351022-129
13Meizhou Hakka915369-38
14Changchun YataiChangchun10226915-68
15Nantong Zhiyun10226917-88
16Qingdao Hainiu10217513-87


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