Chinese Super League | Gameweek 15
Jul 8, 2023 at 12.35pm UK
Workers' Stadium
Beijing Guoan5 - 0Shenzhen
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Chengdu Qianbao 0-1 Beijing Guoan
Monday, July 3 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Monday, July 3 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Goals
for
for
23
Last Game: Shenzhen 1-3 Wuhan TT
Monday, July 3 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Monday, July 3 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Goals
for
for
14
We said: Beijing Guoan 2-1 Shenzhen
While Beijing Guoan have by no means been great this season, they have shown positive signs under their new management and look like a side that can improve. Against the side with the worst away record in the league here, we fancy Soares to pick up his first home win in charge in this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 72.69%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Shenzhen had a probability of 10.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.43%) and 3-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8%), while for a Shenzhen win it was 0-1 (3.41%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Beijing Guoan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Beijing Guoan | Draw | Shenzhen |
72.69% ( 0.33) | 16.85% ( -0.3) | 10.46% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 48.42% ( 0.98) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
