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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 45%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 30.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.91%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest Millwall win was 2-1 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Blackburn Rovers in this match.
Result | ||
Millwall | Draw | Blackburn Rovers |
30.55% ( 1.62) | 24.45% ( -0.09) | 45% ( -1.53) |
Both teams to score 57.85% ( 1.29) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.25% ( 1.25) | 44.75% ( -1.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.89% ( 1.19) | 67.11% ( -1.19) |
Millwall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.32% ( 1.74) | 27.68% ( -1.74) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.76% ( 2.18) | 63.23% ( -2.18) |
Blackburn Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.99% ( -0.15) | 20.01% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.79% ( -0.24) | 52.2% ( 0.24) |
Score Analysis |
Millwall | Draw | Blackburn Rovers |
2-1 @ 7.35% ( 0.28) 1-0 @ 7.11% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 4.57% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 3.15% ( 0.26) 3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.2) 3-0 @ 1.96% ( 0.17) 4-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.13) Other @ 2.87% Total : 30.55% | 1-1 @ 11.44% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 5.54% ( -0.31) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.44% | 1-2 @ 9.21% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 8.91% ( -0.53) 0-2 @ 7.17% ( -0.46) 1-3 @ 4.94% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 3.85% ( -0.27) 2-3 @ 3.17% ( 0.09) 1-4 @ 1.99% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.12) 2-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.94% Total : 45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Leicester CityLeicester | 45 | 31 | 4 | 10 | 89 | 39 | 50 | 97 |
2 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 45 | 27 | 12 | 6 | 90 | 57 | 33 | 93 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 45 | 27 | 9 | 9 | 80 | 41 | 39 | 90 |
4 | Southampton | 45 | 25 | 9 | 11 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 84 |
5 | Norwich CityNorwich | 45 | 21 | 10 | 14 | 79 | 63 | 16 | 73 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 45 | 20 | 12 | 13 | 67 | 47 | 20 | 72 |
7 | Hull City | 45 | 19 | 13 | 13 | 68 | 59 | 9 | 70 |
8 | Middlesbrough | 45 | 19 | 9 | 17 | 68 | 61 | 7 | 66 |
9 | Coventry CityCoventry | 45 | 17 | 13 | 15 | 69 | 57 | 12 | 64 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 45 | 18 | 9 | 18 | 56 | 64 | -8 | 63 |
11 | Bristol City | 45 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 62 |
12 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 45 | 19 | 5 | 21 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 62 |
13 | Swansea CitySwansea | 45 | 15 | 12 | 18 | 59 | 64 | -5 | 57 |
14 | Watford | 45 | 13 | 17 | 15 | 60 | 58 | 2 | 56 |
15 | Sunderland | 45 | 16 | 8 | 21 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 56 |
16 | Millwall | 45 | 15 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 56 |
17 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 53 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 45 | 60 | -15 | 53 |
19 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 58 | 74 | -16 | 50 |
20 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 45 | 14 | 8 | 23 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 50 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 45 | 12 | 12 | 21 | 58 | 70 | -12 | 48 |
22 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 45 | 12 | 11 | 22 | 49 | 65 | -16 | 47 |
23 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 45 | 9 | 18 | 18 | 48 | 75 | -27 | 45 |
R | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 45 | 4 | 12 | 29 | 32 | 87 | -55 | 24 |
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