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Championship | Gameweek 23
Dec 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
Ewood Park
Watford logo

Blackburn
1 - 2
Watford

Wharton (3')
Garrett (36'), Moran (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Rajovic (83'), Healey (87')
Hoedt (65'), Rajovic (81'), Andrews (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Southampton 4-0 Blackburn
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Preston 1-5 Watford
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Blackburn Rovers 1-1 Watford

The inconsistency of both teams make this a difficult one to predict. We fancy Watford to make an impression after their recent demolition job of Preston, yet it would not be Blackburn-like if they did not respond to a defeat by getting back on track. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 42.67%. A win for Watford had a probability of 31.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawWatford
42.67% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02) 25.34% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 31.99% (0.029 0.03)
Both teams to score 55.49% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.87% (0.029999999999994 0.03)48.13% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.71% (0.028000000000002 0.03)70.29% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.52% (0.0020000000000095 0)22.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.96% (0.00099999999999767 0)56.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.58% (0.031999999999996 0.03)28.41% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.83% (0.042000000000002 0.04)64.16% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 42.67%
    Watford 31.99%
    Draw 25.33%
Blackburn RoversDrawWatford
1-0 @ 9.53% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.95% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 7.11% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.45% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 3.54% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.8% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.66%
4-0 @ 1.32% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 42.67%
1-1 @ 11.99% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.39% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.63% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 1.18% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.33%
0-1 @ 8.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 7.55% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 5.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 3.17% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.12% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 31.99%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Watford

Blackburn Rovers
47.8%
Draw
21.7%
Watford
30.4%
23
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 4
Watford
0-1
Blackburn

Hoedt (24'), Andrews (69'), Louza (69')
Hedges (72')
Hyam (63'), Rankin-Costello (77')
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 31
Watford
1-1
Blackburn
Hoedt (74')
Dack (24')
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Blackburn
2-0
Watford
Hedges (38'), Hyam (82')
Feb 24, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Blackburn
2-3
Watford
Elliott (43'), Brereton (82')
Rothwell (34')
Pedro (25'), Sarr (38'), Sema (60')
Oct 21, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Watford
3-1
Blackburn
Pedro (13'), Cleverley (17'), Lenihan (49' og.)
Kabasele (22'), Ngakia (75'), Pedro (84')
Brereton (28')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester453141089395097
2Leeds UnitedLeeds45279980413990
3Ipswich TownIpswich442612688563290
4Southampton452591185622384
5Norwich CityNorwich4521101479631673
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4520121367472072
7Hull City451913136859970
8Middlesbrough45199176861766
9Coventry CityCoventry4417131468551364
10Preston North EndPreston45189185664-863
11Bristol City451711175347662
12Cardiff CityCardiff45195215165-1462
13Swansea CitySwansea451512185964-557
14Watford451317156058256
15Sunderland45168215252056
16Millwall451511194455-1156
17Queens Park RangersQPR451411204557-1253
18Stoke CityStoke451411204560-1553
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn451311215874-1650
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds45148234268-2650
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451212215870-1248
22Birmingham CityBirmingham451211224965-1647
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield45918184875-2745
RRotherham UnitedRotherham45412293287-5524


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