Champions League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 2, 2022 at 6.45pm UK
Huvepharma Arena (Razgrad)
Ludogorets1 - 2Dinamo Zagreb
Form, Standings, Stats
We said: Ludogorets Razgrad 2-2 Dinamo Zagreb
Both sides certainly know the way to goal and are comfortable taking the initiative, so this looks to be a well-balanced tie on paper. Therefore - like in 2012, when the clubs last met in qualifying - the scores could be level ahead of the return leg in Croatia. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Zagreb win with a probability of 48.62%. A win for Ludogorets Razgrad had a probability of 27.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Zagreb win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-2 (8.1%). The likeliest Ludogorets Razgrad win was 1-0 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dinamo Zagreb would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ludogorets Razgrad | Draw | Dinamo Zagreb |
27.05% ( 0) | 24.33% ( -0) | 48.62% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 55.85% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
