Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 6, 2022 at 5pm UK
Bolt Arena
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: RFS 0-1 GentThursday, August 12 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
We said: HJK Helsinki 2-1 Rigas Futbola Skola
We are expecting Wednesday's contest to be a tight affair, and the fact that Rigas have had longer to recover could play a part in the final result. That said, we are tipping Helsinki to triumph on the night and also expect them to have too much quality over the two legs.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 46.17%. A win for Rigas Futbola Skola had a probability of 29.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Rigas Futbola Skola win was 1-2 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that HJK Helsinki would win this match.
| Result |
| HJK Helsinki | Draw | Rigas Futbola Skola |
46.17% ( -0.01) | 24.1% ( -0) | 29.72% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 58.55% ( 0.02) |
| 56.39% ( 0.03) | 43.61% ( -0.03) |
| 34% ( 0.03) | 66% ( -0.03) |
| 80.94% ( 0.01) | 19.05% ( -0.01) |
