Champions League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 10, 2021 at 8pm UK
Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Benfica2 - 0Spartak Moscow
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 57.08%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Spartak Moscow had a probability of 20.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.49%) and 2-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Spartak Moscow win it was 1-2 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
Result | ||
Benfica | Draw | Spartak Moscow |
57.08% | 21.99% | 20.93% |
Both teams to score 56.52% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.94% | 42.05% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.54% | 64.46% |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.47% | 14.53% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.45% | 42.55% |
Spartak Moscow Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.13% | 33.87% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.46% | 70.54% |
Score Analysis |
Benfica 57.08%
Spartak Moscow 20.93%
Draw 21.98%
Benfica | Draw | Spartak Moscow |
2-1 @ 9.91% 1-0 @ 9.49% 2-0 @ 9.16% 3-1 @ 6.38% 3-0 @ 5.89% 3-2 @ 3.45% 4-1 @ 3.07% 4-0 @ 2.84% 4-2 @ 1.66% 5-1 @ 1.19% 5-0 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.95% Total : 57.08% | 1-1 @ 10.27% 2-2 @ 5.37% 0-0 @ 4.92% 3-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.98% | 1-2 @ 5.56% 0-1 @ 5.33% 0-2 @ 2.88% 1-3 @ 2.01% 2-3 @ 1.94% 0-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.17% Total : 20.93% |
How you voted: Benfica vs Spartak Moscow
Benfica
93.8%Spartak Moscow
6.2%81
Head to Head
Aug 4, 2021 6pm
Third Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Spartak Moscow
0-2
Benfica
Nov 7, 2012 7.45pm
Oct 23, 2012 5pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-14 16:16:07
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 37 | 27 | 5 | 5 | 89 | 28 | 61 | 86 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 36 | 26 | 7 | 3 | 91 | 33 | 58 | 85 |
3 | Liverpool | 37 | 23 | 10 | 4 | 84 | 41 | 43 | 79 |
4 | Aston Villa | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 76 | 56 | 20 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 36 | 19 | 6 | 11 | 71 | 59 | 12 | 63 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 79 | 57 | 22 | 57 |
7 | Chelsea | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 73 | 61 | 12 | 57 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 36 | 16 | 6 | 14 | 52 | 56 | -4 | 54 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 59 | 71 | -12 | 52 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 36 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 54 | 58 | -4 | 48 |
11 | Bournemouth | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 53 | 65 | -12 | 48 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 52 | 58 | -6 | 46 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 46 |
14 | Fulham | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 44 |
15 | Everton | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 47 | 66 | -19 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 37 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 50 | 81 | -31 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 40 | 76 | -36 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 37 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 35 | 101 | -66 | 16 |
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