Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 61.89%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 17.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.55%) and 0-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.41%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 2-1 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
Result | ||
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Benfica |
17.8% | 20.3% | 61.89% |
Both teams to score 56.79% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.92% | 39.08% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.59% | 61.41% |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.63% | 35.36% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.87% | 72.12% |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.86% | 12.14% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.26% | 37.74% |
Score Analysis |
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Benfica |
2-1 @ 4.89% 1-0 @ 4.46% 2-0 @ 2.32% 3-2 @ 1.79% 3-1 @ 1.7% Other @ 2.65% Total : 17.8% | 1-1 @ 9.41% 2-2 @ 5.16% 0-0 @ 4.29% 3-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 0.19% Total : 20.3% | 1-2 @ 9.92% 0-2 @ 9.55% 0-1 @ 9.05% 1-3 @ 6.98% 0-3 @ 6.71% 1-4 @ 3.68% 2-3 @ 3.63% 0-4 @ 3.54% 2-4 @ 1.91% 1-5 @ 1.55% 0-5 @ 1.49% Other @ 3.89% Total : 61.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 32 | 27 | 3 | 2 | 92 | 29 | 63 | 84 |
2 | Benfica | 32 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 71 | 27 | 44 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 60 | 26 | 34 | 66 |
4 | Braga | 32 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 65 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 49 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 39 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 32 | 6 | 17 | 9 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 35 |
11 | Casa Pia | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 35 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 33 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 32 | 6 | 12 | 14 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 68 | -37 | 23 |
R | Vizela | 32 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 30 | 64 | -34 | 22 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |