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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 58.81%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for SV Darmstadt 98 had a probability of 19.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%), while for a SV Darmstadt 98 win it was 0-1 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Union Berlin in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Union Berlin.
Result | ||
Union Berlin | Draw | SV Darmstadt 98 |
58.81% ( 0.17) | 22.04% ( -0.07) | 19.15% ( -0.1) |
Both teams to score 53.39% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.2% ( 0.18) | 44.8% ( -0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.84% ( 0.17) | 67.16% ( -0.17) |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.11% ( 0.11) | 14.89% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.75% ( 0.22) | 43.25% ( -0.22) |
SV Darmstadt 98 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.73% | 37.27% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.95% ( 0) | 74.05% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Union Berlin | Draw | SV Darmstadt 98 |
1-0 @ 10.56% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 10.06% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.31% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.48% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.62% Total : 58.8% | 1-1 @ 10.43% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.55% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.04% | 0-1 @ 5.48% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( 0) Other @ 2.51% Total : 19.15% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 32 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 82 | 23 | 59 | 84 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 32 | 22 | 3 | 7 | 90 | 41 | 49 | 69 |
3 | Stuttgart | 32 | 21 | 4 | 7 | 73 | 39 | 34 | 67 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 74 | 36 | 38 | 63 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 32 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 64 | 40 | 24 | 60 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 45 |
7 | Freiburg | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 41 |
8 | Hoffenheim | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 56 | 64 | -8 | 40 |
9 | Augsburg | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Heidenheim | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 45 | 53 | -8 | 38 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 38 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 37 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 33 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 33 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 30 |
16 | Mainz 05Mainz | 32 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 33 | 50 | -17 | 29 |
17 | FC Koln | 32 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 24 | 54 | -30 | 24 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 32 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 30 | 76 | -46 | 17 |
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