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Bundesliga | Gameweek 2
Aug 13, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Koln logo

RB Leipzig
2 - 2
FC Koln

Werner (36'), Nkunku (56')
Henrichs (89')
Szoboszlai (45+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Dietz (40'), Gvardiol (72' og.)
Thielmann (18'), Hubers (48'), Adamyan (76'), Kainz (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and FC Koln, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: RB Leipzig 3-1 FC Koln

We expect a comfortable victory on home soil for Leipzig, whose fans will be buoyed by the return of Werner following his £25m move from Chelsea. Koln are a massively improved outfit under Baumgart but they were helped by Schalke's early dismissal last weekend, with Leipzig likely to have too much firepower for them. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 32.41% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.62%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawFC Koln
43.93% (-0.129 -0.13) 23.66% (-0.041 -0.04) 32.41% (0.167 0.17)
Both teams to score 61.56% (0.224 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.73% (0.26 0.26)40.27% (-0.264 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.36% (0.269 0.27)62.64% (-0.272 -0.27)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.35% (0.052000000000007 0.05)18.64% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.04% (0.088000000000001 0.09)49.96% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.67% (0.22500000000001 0.23)24.33% (-0.228 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.28% (0.318 0.32)58.72% (-0.321 -0.32)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 43.93%
    FC Koln 32.41%
    Draw 23.66%
RB LeipzigDrawFC Koln
2-1 @ 9.04% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.62% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-0 @ 6.4% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-1 @ 5.06% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 3.58% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.58% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.13% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 1.5% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.5% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 43.93%
1-1 @ 10.77% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6.39% (0.028 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.54% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.69% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.66%
1-2 @ 7.61% (0.021 0.02)
0-1 @ 6.41% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.53% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 3.59% (0.033 0.03)
2-3 @ 3.01% (0.032 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.14% (0.016 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.27% (0.02 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.06% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 32.41%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs FC Koln

RB Leipzig
90.7%
Draw
4.0%
FC Koln
5.3%
75
Head to Head
Feb 11, 2022 7.30pm
RB Leipzig
3-1
FC Koln
Nkunku (25'), Olmo (54'), Angelino (57')
Gvardiol (62')
Lemperle (90+1')
Thielmann (9'), Hubers (35')
Sep 18, 2021 5.30pm
Apr 20, 2021 5.30pm
FC Koln
2-1
RB Leipzig
Hector (46', 60')
Ehizibue (23'), Czichos (90+6')
Haidara (59')
Upamecano (56'), Kampl (83'), Haidara (90+6')
Dec 19, 2020 2.30pm
Jun 1, 2020 7.30pm
FC Koln
2-4
RB Leipzig
Cordoba (7'), Modeste (55')
Leistner (30'), Drexler (62')
Schick (20'), Nkunku (38'), Werner (50'), Olmo (57')
Forsberg (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen33276087236487
2Bayern MunichBayern33233792415172
3Stuttgart33224774393570
4RB Leipzig33197775373864
5Borussia DortmundDortmund33179764432160
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt33111394948146
7Hoffenheim33127146264-243
8Freiburg33119134456-1242
9Heidenheim33912124654-839
10Augsburg33109144958-939
11Werder Bremen33109144453-939
12Wolfsburg33107164053-1337
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach33713135663-734
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum33712144170-2933
15Mainz 05Mainz33614133650-1432
16Union BerlinUnion Berlin3386193157-2630
17FC Koln33512162756-2927
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3338223082-5217


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