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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 50.86%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 26.46% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.02%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 2-1 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
FC Koln | Draw | RB Leipzig |
26.46% | 22.67% | 50.86% |
Both teams to score 61.03% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.79% | 39.21% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.45% | 61.54% |
FC Koln Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.31% | 27.68% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.76% | 63.24% |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.39% | 15.6% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.41% | 44.58% |
Score Analysis |
FC Koln | Draw | RB Leipzig |
2-1 @ 6.62% 1-0 @ 5.55% 2-0 @ 3.56% 3-1 @ 2.83% 3-2 @ 2.63% 3-0 @ 1.53% 4-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.84% Total : 26.46% | 1-1 @ 10.3% 2-2 @ 6.15% 0-0 @ 4.32% 3-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.66% | 1-2 @ 9.57% 0-1 @ 8.02% 0-2 @ 7.45% 1-3 @ 5.93% 0-3 @ 4.62% 2-3 @ 3.81% 1-4 @ 2.75% 0-4 @ 2.14% 2-4 @ 1.77% 1-5 @ 1.02% Other @ 3.77% Total : 50.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 89 | 24 | 65 | 90 |
2 | Stuttgart | 34 | 23 | 4 | 7 | 78 | 39 | 39 | 73 |
3 | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 23 | 3 | 8 | 94 | 45 | 49 | 72 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 77 | 39 | 38 | 65 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 63 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 47 |
7 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 46 |
8 | Heidenheim | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 42 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 42 |
10 | Freiburg | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 45 | 58 | -13 | 42 |
11 | Augsburg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 39 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 37 |
13 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 35 |
14 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 34 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 33 | 58 | -25 | 33 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 33 |
R | FC Koln | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 28 | 60 | -32 | 27 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 30 | 86 | -56 | 17 |
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