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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 41.86%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 34.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.77%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 1-2 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.
Result | ||
Hoffenheim | Draw | Union Berlin |
41.86% | 24.08% | 34.06% |
Both teams to score 60.63% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.27% | 41.73% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.86% | 64.13% |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.86% | 20.14% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.58% | 52.42% |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.92% | 24.07% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.64% | 58.36% |
Score Analysis |
Hoffenheim | Draw | Union Berlin |
2-1 @ 8.87% 1-0 @ 7.77% 2-0 @ 6.23% 3-1 @ 4.74% 3-2 @ 3.37% 3-0 @ 3.33% 4-1 @ 1.9% 4-2 @ 1.35% 4-0 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.99% Total : 41.86% | 1-1 @ 11.06% 2-2 @ 6.31% 0-0 @ 4.85% 3-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.07% | 1-2 @ 7.88% 0-1 @ 6.91% 0-2 @ 4.92% 1-3 @ 3.74% 2-3 @ 3% 0-3 @ 2.33% 1-4 @ 1.33% 2-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.89% Total : 34.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 31 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 77 | 22 | 55 | 81 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 31 | 22 | 3 | 6 | 89 | 38 | 51 | 69 |
3 | Stuttgart | 31 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 70 | 38 | 32 | 64 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 73 | 35 | 38 | 62 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 31 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 57 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 47 | 42 | 5 | 45 |
7 | Freiburg | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 40 |
8 | Augsburg | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 39 |
9 | Hoffenheim | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 55 | 63 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Heidenheim | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 52 | -8 | 37 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 41 | 50 | -9 | 37 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 34 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 53 | 60 | -7 | 32 |
14 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 30 |
15 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 31 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 37 | 62 | -25 | 30 |
16 | Mainz 05Mainz | 31 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 28 |
17 | FC Koln | 31 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 24 | 54 | -30 | 23 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 31 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 30 | 73 | -43 | 17 |
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