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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 68.5%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 13.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.67%) and 0-1 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.22%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 2-1 (3.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hertha Berlin | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
13.67% | 17.83% | 68.5% |
Both teams to score 55.69% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.24% | 35.76% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.16% | 57.83% |
Hertha Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.53% | 38.46% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.78% | 75.21% |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.5% | 9.5% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.14% | 31.86% |
Score Analysis |
Hertha Berlin | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
2-1 @ 3.93% 1-0 @ 3.49% 2-0 @ 1.67% 3-2 @ 1.47% 3-1 @ 1.25% Other @ 1.86% Total : 13.67% | 1-1 @ 8.22% 2-2 @ 4.62% 0-0 @ 3.65% 3-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 0.18% Total : 17.83% | 0-2 @ 10.12% 1-2 @ 9.67% 0-1 @ 8.6% 0-3 @ 7.95% 1-3 @ 7.59% 0-4 @ 4.68% 1-4 @ 4.47% 2-3 @ 3.63% 0-5 @ 2.2% 2-4 @ 2.13% 1-5 @ 2.1% 2-5 @ 1.01% Other @ 4.36% Total : 68.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 32 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 82 | 23 | 59 | 84 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 32 | 22 | 3 | 7 | 90 | 41 | 49 | 69 |
3 | Stuttgart | 32 | 21 | 4 | 7 | 73 | 39 | 34 | 67 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 74 | 36 | 38 | 63 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 32 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 64 | 40 | 24 | 60 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 45 |
7 | Freiburg | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 41 |
8 | Hoffenheim | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 56 | 64 | -8 | 40 |
9 | Augsburg | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Heidenheim | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 45 | 53 | -8 | 38 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 38 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 37 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 33 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 33 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 30 |
16 | Mainz 05Mainz | 32 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 33 | 50 | -17 | 29 |
17 | FC Koln | 32 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 24 | 54 | -30 | 24 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 32 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 30 | 76 | -46 | 17 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |