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Wolfsburg
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 17
Dec 17, 2021 at 7.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Wolfsburg

Bayern
4 - 0
Wolfsburg

Muller (7'), Upamecano (57'), Sane (59'), Lewandowski (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Bayern Munich 3-0 Wolfsburg

Facing Bayern off the back of six straight defeats is far from ideal for Wolfsburg, and we are finding it incredibly difficult to predict anything other than a comfortable victory for the reigning champions, who should have too much in the final third despite their absentees. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 82.74%. A draw had a probability of 11% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 6.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 3-1 (8.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 1-2 (1.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawWolfsburg
82.74%11.05%6.21%
Both teams to score 51.81%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.39%25.62%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
54.27%45.74%
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.49%4.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
81.51%18.49%
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.26%45.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.48%81.52%
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 82.73%
    Wolfsburg 6.21%
    Draw 11.05%
Bayern MunichDrawWolfsburg
3-0 @ 10.24%
2-0 @ 9.91%
3-1 @ 8.01%
4-0 @ 7.94%
2-1 @ 7.75%
1-0 @ 6.4%
4-1 @ 6.21%
5-0 @ 4.93%
5-1 @ 3.85%
3-2 @ 3.13%
6-0 @ 2.55%
4-2 @ 2.43%
6-1 @ 1.99%
5-2 @ 1.51%
7-0 @ 1.13%
Other @ 4.75%
Total : 82.73%
1-1 @ 5%
2-2 @ 3.03%
0-0 @ 2.06%
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 11.05%
1-2 @ 1.96%
0-1 @ 1.61%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 6.21%

How you voted: Bayern vs Wolfsburg

Bayern Munich
90.8%
Draw
3.3%
Wolfsburg
5.9%
152
Head to Head
Apr 17, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 29
Wolfsburg
2-3
Bayern
Weghorst (35'), Philipp (54')
Otavio (57'), Mbabu (86')
Musiala (15', 37'), Maxim Choupo-Moting (24')
Hernandez (79')
Dec 16, 2020 7.30pm
Gameweek 12
Bayern
2-1
Wolfsburg
Lewandowski (45+1', 50')
Gnabry (69'), Sane (84'), Coman (90')
Philipp (5')
Arnold (34')
Jun 27, 2020 2.30pm
Dec 21, 2019 2.30pm
Mar 9, 2019 2.30pm
Gameweek 25
Bayern
6-0
Wolfsburg
Gnabry (34'), Lewandowski (37', 85'), Rodriguez (52'), Muller (76'), Kimmich (82')

Rexhbecaj (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen33276087236487
2Bayern MunichBayern33233792415172
3Stuttgart33224774393570
4RB Leipzig33197775373864
5Borussia DortmundDortmund33179764432160
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt33111394948146
7Hoffenheim33127146264-243
8Freiburg33119134456-1242
9Heidenheim33912124654-839
10Augsburg33109144958-939
11Werder Bremen33109144453-939
12Wolfsburg33107164053-1337
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach33713135663-734
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum33712144170-2933
15Mainz 05Mainz33614133650-1432
16Union BerlinUnion Berlin3386193157-2630
17FC Koln33512162756-2927
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3338223082-5217


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