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Bundesliga | Gameweek 18
Jan 21, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Werder Bremen logo

Bayern
0 - 1
Werder Bremen


Kimmich (17'), de Ligt (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Weiser (59')
Schmid (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: VfL Bochum 1-1 Werder Bremen
Sunday, January 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Bayern Munich 5-0 Werder Bremen

Bayern's dominance over Bremen in recent years goes even beyond the levels the Bavarians are accustomed to, and another big win could be on the cards, despite some injury concerns. Bremen have lost 27 of their last 28 games against Bayern, and the rate at which they concede goals at the Allianz is of great concern for manager Werner heading into this clash. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 83.23%. A draw had a probability of 10.7% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 6.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.67%) and 4-0 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.83%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 1-2 (1.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawWerder Bremen
83.23% (0.46299999999999 0.46) 10.74% (-0.202 -0.2) 6.03% (-0.2569 -0.26)
Both teams to score 52.17% (-0.811 -0.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.29% (-0.13 -0.13)24.71% (0.134 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
55.46% (-0.172 -0.17)44.53% (0.177 0.18)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.72% (0.051000000000002 0.05)4.28% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
82.25% (0.14700000000001 0.15)17.75% (-0.143 -0.14)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.5% (-0.875 -0.88)45.5% (0.877 0.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.67% (-0.697 -0.7)81.33% (0.70100000000001 0.7)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 83.22%
    Werder Bremen 6.03%
    Draw 10.74%
Bayern MunichDrawWerder Bremen
3-0 @ 10.15% (0.185 0.19)
2-0 @ 9.67% (0.15 0.15)
4-0 @ 8% (0.177 0.18)
3-1 @ 8% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-1 @ 7.61% (-0.067 -0.07)
4-1 @ 6.3% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.13% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
5-0 @ 5.05% (0.128 0.13)
5-1 @ 3.97% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.15% (-0.095 -0.1)
6-0 @ 2.65% (0.076 0.08)
4-2 @ 2.48% (-0.067 -0.07)
6-1 @ 2.09% (0.01 0.01)
5-2 @ 1.56% (-0.037 -0.04)
7-0 @ 1.19% (0.038 0.04)
7-1 @ 0.94% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 4.27%
Total : 83.22%
1-1 @ 4.83% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-2 @ 3% (-0.101 -0.1)
0-0 @ 1.95% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 10.74%
1-2 @ 1.9% (-0.071 -0.07)
0-1 @ 1.53% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 6.03%

How you voted: Bayern vs Werder Bremen

Bayern Munich
88.5%
Draw
7.7%
Werder Bremen
3.8%
26
Head to Head
Aug 18, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 1
Werder Bremen
0-4
Bayern

Ducksch (20'), Lynen (56')
Sane (4', 90'), Kane (74'), Tel (90+4')
Min-jae (55')
May 6, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 31
Werder Bremen
1-2
Bayern
Schmidt (87')
Gnabry (62'), Sane (72')
Nov 8, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 14
Bayern
6-1
Werder Bremen
Musiala (6'), Gnabry (22', 28', 82'), Goretzka (26'), Tel (84')
Jung (10')
Mar 13, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 25
Werder Bremen
1-3
Bayern
Fullkrug (86')
Sargent (70')
Goretzka (22'), Gnabry (35'), Lewandowski (67')
Nov 21, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 8
Bayern
1-1
Werder Bremen
Coman (62')
Pavard (15')
Eggestein (45')
Bittencourt (32'), Augustinsson (43'), Kohfeldt (80'), Pavlenka (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Result
Swiatek
Haddad Maia
4 6 6
6 0 2
Result
Keys
Jabeur
0 7 6
6 5 1
Result
Medvedev
Bublik
77 6
63 4
Result
Rublev
Griekspoor
6 6
2 4
Result
Hurkacz
Fritz
62 4
77 6
Result
Cerundolo
Zverev
6 6
3 4
Result
Sinner
Khachanov
5 6 6
7 3 3
Result
Struff
Alcaraz
3 77 64
6 65 77
Result
Auger-Aliassime
Ruud
6 7
4 5
8.30pm
Nadal
Lehecka
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen31256077225581
2Bayern MunichBayern31223689385169
3Stuttgart31204770383264
4RB Leipzig31195773353862
5Borussia DortmundDortmund31169659392057
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt31111284742545
7Freiburg31117134355-1240
8Augsburg31109124852-439
9Hoffenheim31116145563-839
10Heidenheim31910124452-837
11Werder Bremen31107144150-937
12Wolfsburg3197153751-1434
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach31711135360-732
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin3186172650-2430
15VfL BochumVfL Bochum31612133762-2530
16Mainz 05Mainz31513133249-1728
17FC Koln31411162454-3023
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3138203073-4317


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