Frankfurt's form has fallen off a cliff at the worst possible moment in terms of facing Germany's biggest club and strongest team. Only Freiburg and the bottom eight teams have scored fewer goals than Toppmoller's side in the Bundesliga so far this season, so we can envisage them blanking on Saturday.
The same can certainly not be said for Bayern, who are outscoring every other side in Germany once again. Their defensive record of nine goals conceded in 12 games is also the best record, and they will be confident of moving top of the table with a comfortable victory.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 54.27%. A win for Eintracht Frankfurt had a probability of 24.71% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.9%) and 0-1 (6.59%). The likeliest Eintracht Frankfurt win was 2-1 (6.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.99%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
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