We said: Augsburg 0-2 RB Leipzig
The impact of Tedesco at Leipzig was instant at the weekend, with the Red Bulls looking back to their attacking best.
Because of this, as well as the lower quality of their opponents, who are also missing a number of defenders and forwards, we are predicting an away win at the WWK Arena on Wednesday.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 67.97%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 14.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.41%) and 0-1 (7.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.98%), while for an Augsburg win it was 2-1 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
