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Austin FC
Major League Soccer | Gameweek 14
Jul 8, 2021 at 2am UK
Austin FC Stadium
Los Angeles FC

Austin
0 - 2
Los Angeles


Pereira (3'), Cascante (36'), Kolmanic (45+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Cifuentes (39'), Rossi (89')
Farfan (70'), Murillo (85')

Preview: Austin FC vs. Los Angeles FC - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Austin FC and Los Angeles FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Austin FC will hope to build on their first ever win at the Q2 Stadium when they host Los Angeles FC.

The Texas-based outfit are in their inaugural MLS season and won on home turf at the third attempt against Portland Timbers last week.


Match preview

 Austin FC huddles before the first game on June 20, 2021© Reuters

Austin's previous two home games in MLS had both finished goalless against San Jose Earthquakes and Columbus Crew, but the party finally started when Jon Gallagher opened the scoring against the Timbers in the 28th minute.

Diego Fagundez, Alex Ring and Hector Jimenez all got in on the act as Josh Wolff's side went on to triumph 4-1, ending an eight-game winless run in the process.

It was just their third victory in 12 MLS games so far but lifted them to 10th in the Western Conference and to within two points of a playoff spot.

It seemed as if Wolff released the shackles from his side against the Timbers, as they netted four goals having only scored six times in their previous 11 matches. Only Inter Miami (nine) have scored fewer goals across both Eastern and Western conferences so far this season.

Austin remain at home for their next encounter too as high-flying Seattle Sounders visit the Q2 Stadium before they travel to the struggling Vancouver Whitecaps.

Los Angeles FC manager Bob Bradley on May 9, 2021 © Reuters

LAFC finally got their first away win of the season in their fifth attempt last time out, as Jose Cifuentes's second half goal proved enough to beat Real Salt Lake 1-0.

The Black and Gold will now look for back-to-back victories for the first time in the 2021 campaign, as they have struggled to find consistency so far; winning only four of their 11 matches.

LAFC sit fifth in the Western Conference with 15 points but know that they will be overtaken by Austin if they are defeated in Texas.

Bob Bradley's side were 2-0 winners in the reverse fixture at the Banc of California Stadium on the opening weekend of the season in April, as Corey Baird and Cifuentes netted in the second half.

This fixture is not only an important game in MLS but in Hollywood too, as Austin are co-owned by Matthew McConaughey and LAFC are co-owned by Will Ferrell.

According to McConaughey, the pair got into a friendly "war of words" before the match earlier in the season.

Austin FC Major League Soccer form:
  • D
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • W

Los Angeles FC Major League Soccer form:
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • W



Team News

Austin FC head coach Josh Wolff shouts at players during the match against Sporting Kansas City on May 9, 2021© Reuters

Jon Gallagher is a doubt for Austin as he came off after 45 minutes against Portland Timbers with a foot injury and was seen on crutches at halftime.

If sidelined, he would join Danny Hoesen (hip), Nick Lima (hamstring), Aaron Schoenfeld (knee), Ulises Segura (knee) and Ben Sweat (ACL) on what is already a pretty unfortunate injury list for the Texas outfit.

Jared Stroud would be the most probable option to replace Gallagher in the starting lineup, but Josh Wolff is unlikely to make too many other changes following such a convincing win.

Jose Cifuentes's winning goal against Real Salt Lake as a substitute should earn him his place back in the LAFC starting lineup.

Kwadwo Opoku remains sidelined with a knee injury, while Diego Palacios exited the Copa America with Ecuador on Saturday but will still be unavailable for at least one more game.

Captain Carlos Vela completed 90 minutes for only the second time this season against Real Salt Lake as he gets back up to speed following a hamstring injury, and he will be eager to get on the scoresheet after notching just once so far.

Austin FC possible starting lineup:
Stuver; Jimenez, Cascante, Besler, Kolmanic; Pereira, Ring, Pochettino; Stroud, Dominguez, Fagundez

Los Angeles FC possible starting lineup:
Romero; Kim, Murillo, Segura, Farfan; Blessing, Atuesta, Cifuentes; Vela, Baird, Rossi


SM words green background

We say: Austin FC 1-1 Los Angeles FC

Austin's win over Portland Timbers will give them a huge confidence boost going into this game and they will fancy their chances against an inconsistent LAFC side. The visitors do possess plenty of attacking talent though, making this a tough one to call; we are going for a draw.




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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 39.86%. A win for Los Angeles FC had a probability of 37.42% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.86%) and 2-0 (5.03%). The likeliest Los Angeles FC win was 1-2 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Austin vs Los Angeles

Austin FC
27.1%
Draw
29.2%
Los Angeles FC
43.8%
48
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Actor Will Ferrell smiles as the Los Angeles Lakers take on the Oklahoma City Thunder in Game Four of the Western Conference Semifinals in the 2012 NBA Playoffs on May 19. 2012
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1Inter MiamiInter Miami1163226161021
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6New York City FCNY City104241110114
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6Colorado RapidsColorado104331615115
7Austin FCAustin104331413115
8Houston DynamoHouston9414910-113
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13Seattle SoundersSeattle91351011-16
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes101181425-114


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