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[monks data]
Atlanta United
Major League Soccer | Gameweek 26
Aug 19, 2021 at 12am UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Toronto FC

Atlanta
1 - 0
Toronto

Barco (20')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Preview: Atlanta United vs. Toronto - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

In search of a third consecutive league victory, Atlanta United play host to Toronto at the Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Thursday.

Meanwhile, the visiting team are on a barren run of four games without a win coming into the clash and will seek to return to winning ways.


Match preview

Atlanta United midfielder Marcelino Moreno (10) celebrates with teammates after scoring a goal against the Columbus Crew in the second half at Lower.com Stadium on August 7, 2021© Reuters

With a 1-0 triumph over Los Angeles FC on Sunday, Atlanta United made it back-to-back wins to brighten the mood following a 12-game winless streak prior to that.

Josef Martinez struck within a minute of the second half to secure a huge win for Gonzalo Pineda in his first game at the helm of affairs.

The Five Stripes are now just five points off the last playoff spot in the Eastern Conference and looked to have turned a corner in recent weeks.

Up next for them is a tricky assignment against an opposing side who have come out on top in four of the last five meetings between the teams, including both of last season's encounters.

Thursday's hosts were solid at the back as they recorded what was only their third clean sheet of the season last time out, and a similar performance here would be a good platform to build on.

Toronto FC interim head coach Javier Perez looks on during the first half against New York City FC at BMO Field on August 7, 2021© Reuters

Toronto failed to win on home turf for the seventh game on the trot as they suffered a 2-1 defeat to league leaders New England Revolution.

Javier Perez's men found themselves behind in the first half thanks to Tajon Buchanan's opener, but they hit back in the 79th-minute through Jonathan Osorio, before Gustavo Bou netted the winner from the spot four minutes later.

The Reds remain rooted to the bottom of the Eastern Conference standings despite having played two more games than the other teams in the bottom three.

With a league-high tally of 40 goals conceded, Thursday's visitors need to shore up at the back if they are to turn their season around.

Atlanta United Major League Soccer form:
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • W

Toronto Major League Soccer form:
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • L



Team News

Atlanta United players react after Philadelphia Union scored an an own goal on June 20, 2021© Reuters

Emerson Hyndman and Franco Ibarra are not expected to feature as they remain sidelined with hamstring and muscle injuries respectively.

Mohammed Adams also misses out through a knee injury, while the trio of Brooks Lennon, Luiz Araujo and Jake Mulraney are major doubts for the game.

Toronto's Auro and Dom Dwyer will both miss the trip to Atlanta due to abdominal strains, but the latter is expected to return to action in the coming weeks.

Ayomide Akinola is yet to recover from a knee problem which he picked up on duty with the Canada national team at the Gold Cup.

The visitors will also have to cope with the absence of Japanese forward Tsubasa Endoh, who is still nursing a leg injury.

Atlanta United possible starting lineup:
Guzan; Bello, Walkes, Franco, Robinson, Hernandez; Moreno, Sosa, Rossetto; Barco, Martinez

Toronto possible starting lineup:
Bono; Lawrence, Zavaleta, Gonzalez, Laryea; Delgado, Bradley, Pozuelo; Soteldo, Osorio, Altidore


SM words green background

We say: Atlanta United 2-1 Toronto

The hosts come into this one with a spring in their step following their recent upturn in form. On the other hand, the visitors are going through a rough patch at the moment, and we are tipping the home team to claim all three points.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 59.84%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 17.43%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.37%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (5.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atlanta United in this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Atlanta vs Toronto

Atlanta United
75.0%
Draw
15.9%
Toronto
9.1%
44
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Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1163226161021
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati10532129318
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls104511410417
4Toronto105141113-216
5Columbus Crew10361129315
6New York City FCNY City104241110114
7Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia83411511413
8DC United103431415-113
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta9333139412
10CF MontrealMontreal93331216-412
11Charlotte FCCharlotte FC103251013-311
12Chicago Fire102441118-710
13Orlando City92341117-69
14Nashville SCNashville91531017-78
15New England RevolutionNew England9117618-124

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake10532179818
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy105322117418
3Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver95221810817
4Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd95221510517
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles104331816215
6Colorado RapidsColorado104331615115
7Austin FCAustin104331413115
8Houston DynamoHouston9414910-113
9St Louis City92611514112
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas102531818011
11Portland TimbersPortland102442021-110
12Dallas9225912-38
13Seattle SoundersSeattle91351011-16
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes101181425-114


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