Esteghlal

1 - 0

Al-Shorta

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Esteghlal win with a probability of 50.33%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Al-Shorta had a probability of 23.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Esteghlal win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.83%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%), while for an Al-Shorta win it was 0-1 (8.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Esteghlal in this match.