Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 48.45%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 26.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.45%) and 0-2 (8.41%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-0 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Melbourne City |
26.71% ( 0.73) | 24.84% ( -0) | 48.45% ( -0.73) |
Both teams to score 53.89% ( 0.65) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.26% ( 0.55) | 48.74% ( -0.55) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.15% ( 0.5) | 70.85% ( -0.5) |
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.49% ( 0.88) | 32.51% ( -0.88) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.96% ( 0.97) | 69.04% ( -0.97) |
Melbourne City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.84% ( -0.09) | 20.15% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.56% ( -0.14) | 52.43% ( 0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Melbourne City |
1-0 @ 7.36% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.62% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 4.14% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 2.48% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 1.99% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.57% Total : 26.71% | 1-1 @ 11.79% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.55% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.84% | 0-1 @ 10.49% ( -0.27) 1-2 @ 9.45% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 8.41% ( -0.24) 1-3 @ 5.04% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 4.49% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 2.02% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.8% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.79% Total : 48.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 27 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 55 |
2 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 53 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 41 |
5 | Macarthur | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 41 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 39 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
8 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 52 | 53 | -1 | 32 |
9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 30 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 22 |
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