Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 44.32%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Western Sydney Wanderers would win this match.
Result | ||
Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Macarthur |
44.32% ( -0.08) | 24.15% ( 0.08) | 31.53% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 59.38% ( -0.29) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.04% ( -0.38) | 42.96% ( 0.38) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.64% ( -0.38) | 65.36% ( 0.38) |
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.42% ( -0.19) | 19.57% ( 0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.5% ( -0.31) | 51.5% ( 0.31) |
Macarthur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.83% ( -0.19) | 26.17% ( 0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.75% ( -0.25) | 61.25% ( 0.25) |
Score Analysis |
Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Macarthur |
2-1 @ 9.13% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 6.81% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.97% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.7% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.03% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.51% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.13% Total : 44.32% | 1-1 @ 11.2% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 6.12% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.15% | 1-2 @ 7.51% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.87% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 4.6% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.36% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.06% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.36% Total : 31.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 27 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 55 |
2 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 53 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 41 |
5 | Macarthur | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 41 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 39 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
8 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 52 | 53 | -1 | 32 |
9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 30 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 22 |
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