Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 64.26%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Perth Glory had a probability of 17.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.9%) and 1-3 (7.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.82%), while for a Perth Glory win it was 2-1 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Melbourne City in this match.
Result | ||
Perth Glory | Draw | Melbourne City |
17.41% ( 0.02) | 18.34% ( 0.02) | 64.26% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 63.45% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.83% ( -0.04) | 30.17% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
48.6% ( -0.05) | 51.4% ( 0.05) |
Perth Glory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.7% | 30.3% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.52% ( -0) | 66.48% ( 0) |
Melbourne City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.03% ( -0.02) | 8.97% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.41% ( -0.05) | 30.59% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Perth Glory | Draw | Melbourne City |
2-1 @ 4.67% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 3.24% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.24% 2-0 @ 1.94% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.86% ( 0) Other @ 3.46% Total : 17.41% | 1-1 @ 7.82% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.63% ( 0) 0-0 @ 2.72% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.8% ( -0) Other @ 0.36% Total : 18.34% | 1-2 @ 9.43% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.9% ( 0) 1-3 @ 7.58% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.55% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 6.35% ( -0) 1-4 @ 4.57% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 4.53% ( -0) 0-4 @ 3.83% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 2.73% ( -0) 1-5 @ 2.21% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.85% ( -0.01) 2-5 @ 1.32% ( -0) 3-4 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 4.32% Total : 64.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 27 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 55 |
2 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 53 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 41 |
5 | Macarthur | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 41 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 39 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
8 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 52 | 53 | -1 | 32 |
9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 30 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 22 |
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