Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 41.1%. A win for Young Boys had a probability of 35.74% and a draw had a probability of 23.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.41%) and 0-2 (5.65%). The likeliest Young Boys win was 2-1 (7.71%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.