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Wrexham AFC
National League | Gameweek 10
Oct 5, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Racecourse Ground
Chesterfield

Wrexham
1 - 1
Chesterfield

Mullin (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kerr (5')
Maguire (19'), Kellerman (45'), Kerr (75')

Preview: Wrexham vs. Chesterfield - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's National League clash between Wrexham and Chesterfield, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Wrexham will be looking to record their fourth National League victory of the 2021-22 campaign when they welcome Chesterfield to the Racecourse Ground on Tuesday night.

The Red Dragons saw their match at Aldershot Town on Saturday abandoned in the second half due to a waterlogged pitch, while Chesterfield suffered a 3-1 loss at Woking in their last league fixture.


Match preview

Phil Parkinson, now in charge of Wrexham, pictured in January 2020© Reuters

Goals from Jake Hyde and Paul Mullins saw Wrexham take a 2-0 lead at Aldershot on Saturday, but referee Sunny Gill blew what proved to be the final whistle in the 52nd minute due to a waterlogged pitch.

Wrexham players had attempted to sweep the rain away from the pitch, but the worsening conditions meant that the fixture had to be abandoned, with the contest set to be replayed at another time.

There was clear frustration for the Red Dragons, but the hosts have to dust themselves down and prepare for Tuesday's clash at home to Chesterfield, where they will be looking for a fourth league win of the campaign.

Indeed, a record of three wins, three draws and two defeats from their opening eight matches has seen them collect 12 points to sit 11th in the table.

Head coach Phil Parkinson is under pressure to lead the team to promotion this season, with famous actors Ryan Reynolds and Rob McElhenney taking over the club in November 2020.

Chesterfield, meanwhile, have not been in action since suffering a 3-1 defeat at Woking on September 28, with the loss proving to be their first in the National League this season.

A record of five wins, three draws and one loss from nine matches has seen them collect 18 points, which has left them third in the table, just two points behind leaders Grimsby Town on the same number of games.

James Rowe's side finished sixth in the National League last season, qualifying for the quarter-finals of the playoffs in the process, but they suffered a 3-2 defeat to Notts County.

The Spireites will be expecting to challenge high up the division this term, and a win at Wrexham on Tuesday would lead them nicely into a trip to a struggling Southend United on October 9.

Wrexham National League form:
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • L

Chesterfield National League form:
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • L



Team News

Wrexham boss Parkinson is expected to name close to the same starting XI that took to the field for the clash with Aldershot on Saturday.

As mentioned, goals from Hyde and Mullins had left the visitors two goals ahead, and it seems unlikely that the Red Dragons manager will make many changes to the side that featured from the first whistle.

Luke Young and Ben Tozer were both replaced in the first half of the contest, though, and have therefore emerged as injury doubts, with Tyler French and Devonte Redmond on standby to come into the team.

As for Chesterfield, head coach Rowe could make changes from the side that started the 3-1 defeat to Woking in Surrey last time out.

Danny Rowe and Jak McCourt both came off the bench in the loss at the Laithwaite Community Stadium and are in contention to come into the starting XI for this match.

Kabongo Tshimanga is the leading goalscorer in the National League this season with nine, though, and the 24-year-old is a certainty to start for the visitors.

Wrexham possible starting lineup:
Lainton; Hayden, French, Lennon, Hosanah; Redmond, Jones, Davies, Reckord; Hyde, Mullins

Chesterfield possible starting lineup:
Loach; Kerr, Grimes, Gunning; King, Khan, Rowe, Weston, Miller; McCourt, Tshimanga


SM words green background

We say: Wrexham 1-1 Chesterfield

Both sides will believe that they are capable of hurting the other in the final third of the field, and it should be a fascinating battle on Tuesday night. Wrexham will be looking to overcome Saturday's disappointment, but Chesterfield must be taken seriously at this level, and we have had to settle on a low-scoring draw.


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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 39.71%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 32.51% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 0-1 (10.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Wrexham vs Chesterfield

Wrexham
32.5%
Draw
42.5%
Chesterfield
25.0%
40
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