World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage

Sep 2, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

National Stadium

Poland
4 - 1
Albania

Lewandowski (12'), Buksa (44'), Krychowiak (54'), Linetty (89')
Swiderski (82'), Bednarek (86')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Cikalleshi (25')
Abrashi (4'), Bare (7'), Hysaj (11'), Gjasula (54'), Manaj (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Poland and Albania, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Poland win with a probability of 47.35%. A win for Albania had a probability of 27.6% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Poland win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Albania win was 0-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Poland would win this match.

Result
Poland	Draw	Albania
47.35%	25.05%	27.6%

Both teams to score 53.93%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.98%

49.02%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.9%

71.1%

Poland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.26%

20.73%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.64%

53.35%

Albania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.04%

31.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.59%

68.41%

Score Analysis

Poland 47.34%

Albania 27.6%

Draw 25.05%

Poland	Draw	Albania
1-0 @ 10.42% 2-1 @ 9.36% 2-0 @ 8.2% 3-1 @ 4.91% 3-0 @ 4.3% 3-2 @ 2.8% 4-1 @ 1.93% 4-0 @ 1.69% 4-2 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.63% Total : 47.34%	1-1 @ 11.89% 0-0 @ 6.63% 2-2 @ 5.34% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.05%	0-1 @ 7.56% 1-2 @ 6.78% 0-2 @ 4.31% 1-3 @ 2.58% 2-3 @ 2.03% 0-3 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.7% Total : 27.6%

How you voted: Poland vs Albania

Poland

80.9%

Draw

12.3%

Albania

6.9%