World Cup Qualifying - Europe
-
Leon Goretzka
3'
-
Kai Havertz
7'
-
Kai Havertz
48'
-
Ilkay Gundogan
56'
-
Kari Arnason 56'
-
Albert Gudmundsson 65'
Germany vs Iceland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 68.41%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Iceland had a probability of 8.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 1-0 with a probability of 22.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (17.8%) and 3-0 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.75%), while for a Iceland win it was 0-1 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Germany would win this match.
Result
Germany
68.41%
Draw
23.39%
Iceland
8.2%
Both Teams to Score:
24.99%
Goals
Over 2.5
31.88%
Under 2.5
68.11%
Over 3.5
13.99%
Under 3.5
86.01%
Germany Goals
Over 0.5
79.99%
Under 0.5
20.01%
Over 1.5
47.79%
Under 1.5
52.21%
Iceland Goals
Over 0.5
31.24%
Under 0.5
68.76%
Over 1.5
5.49%
Under 1.5
94.51%
Score analysis
Germany
68.4%
Draw
23.38%
Iceland
8.2%
Germany
1-0
@
22.13%
2-0 @ 17.8%
3-0 @ 9.55%
2-1 @ 6.67%
4-0 @ 3.84%
3-1 @ 3.58%
4-1 @ 1.44%
5-0 @ 1.24%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 68.4%
2-0 @ 17.8%
3-0 @ 9.55%
2-1 @ 6.67%
4-0 @ 3.84%
3-1 @ 3.58%
4-1 @ 1.44%
5-0 @ 1.24%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 68.4%
Draw
0-0
@
13.75%
1-1 @ 8.29%
2-2 @ 1.25%
Other @ 0.09%
Total : 23.38%
1-1 @ 8.29%
2-2 @ 1.25%
Other @ 0.09%
Total : 23.38%
Iceland
0-1
@
5.15%
1-2 @ 1.55%
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 8.2%
1-2 @ 1.55%
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 8.2%