World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Mar 25, 2021 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena
  • Leon Goretzka 3' goal
  • Kai Havertz 7' goal
  • Kai Havertz 48' yellowcard
  • Ilkay Gundogan 56' goal
  • yellowcard Kari Arnason 56'
  • yellowcard Albert Gudmundsson 65'

Germany vs Iceland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Germany

All competitions

Iceland

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 68.41%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Iceland had a probability of 8.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 1-0 with a probability of 22.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (17.8%) and 3-0 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.75%), while for a Iceland win it was 0-1 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Germany would win this match.

Result

Germany 68.41%
Draw 23.39%
Iceland 8.2%

Both Teams to Score: 

24.99%

Goals

Over 2.5 31.88%
Under 2.5 68.11%
Over 3.5 13.99%
Under 3.5 86.01%

Germany Goals

Over 0.5 79.99%
Under 0.5 20.01%
Over 1.5 47.79%
Under 1.5 52.21%

Iceland Goals

Over 0.5 31.24%
Under 0.5 68.76%
Over 1.5 5.49%
Under 1.5 94.51%

Score analysis

Germany 68.4%
Draw 23.38%
Iceland 8.2%
Germany
1-0 @ 22.13%
2-0 @ 17.8%
3-0 @ 9.55%
2-1 @ 6.67%
4-0 @ 3.84%
3-1 @ 3.58%
4-1 @ 1.44%
5-0 @ 1.24%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 68.4%
Draw
0-0 @ 13.75%
1-1 @ 8.29%
2-2 @ 1.25%
Other @ 0.09%
Total : 23.38%
Iceland
0-1 @ 5.15%
1-2 @ 1.55%
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 8.2%