World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage

Sep 5, 2021 at 5pm UK

Wembley Stadium

England
4 - 0
Andorra

Lingard (18', 78'), Kane (72' pen.), Saka (84')
Mings (82')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Vales (38'), Rebes (45+2'), Rubio (64'), Garcia (72'), F. Betriu (87'), Rubio (90+2')

Reaction

England's Bukayo Saka celebrates scoring against Andorra on September 5, 2021

Wembley's response to Bukayo Saka will boost his confidence - Gareth Southgate

Bukayo Saka scored one and set up two on his birthday.

Sep 5, 19:31

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 73.55%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Andorra had a probability of 5.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a England win was 1-0 with a probability of 22.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (19.68%) and 3-0 (11.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.95%), while for an Andorra win it was 0-1 (3.89%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that England would win this match.

Result
England	Draw	Andorra
73.55%	20.68%	5.77%

Both teams to score 21.42%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

33.51%

66.49%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.08%

84.92%

England Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.5%

17.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52%

48%

Andorra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

25.96%

74.05%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

3.71%

96.3%

Score Analysis

England 73.53%

Andorra 5.77%

Draw 20.68%

England	Draw	Andorra
1-0 @ 22.58% 2-0 @ 19.68% 3-0 @ 11.43% 2-1 @ 5.92% 4-0 @ 4.98% 3-1 @ 3.44% 5-0 @ 1.74% 4-1 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.27% Total : 73.53%	0-0 @ 12.95% 1-1 @ 6.79% Other @ 0.94% Total : 20.68%	0-1 @ 3.89% 1-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.86% Total : 5.77%