Women's World Cup | Group Stage

Jul 25, 2023 at 6.30am UK

Westpac Stadium

New Zealand W
0 - 1
Philippines W

Wilkinson (42')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Bolden (24', 24')
Beard (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Women's World Cup clash between New Zealand Women and Philippines Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New Zealand Women

All competitions

Last Game: New Zealand W 1-0 Norway Women
Thursday, July 20 at 8am in Women's World Cup

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Switzerland Women	1	2	3
2	New Zealand Women	1	1	3
3	Norway Women	1	-1	0
4	Philippines Women	1	-2	0

Philippines Women

All competitions

Last Game: Philippines W 0-2 Switzerland W
Friday, July 21 at 6am in Women's World Cup

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Switzerland Women	1	2	3
2	New Zealand Women	1	1	3
3	Norway Women	1	-1	0
4	Philippines Women	1	-2	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philippines Women win with a probability of 51.72%. A win for New Zealand Women had a probability of 25.51% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philippines Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.48%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest New Zealand Women win was 2-1 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Philippines Women would win this match.

Result
New Zealand Women	Draw	Philippines Women
25.51% ( -0.54)	22.77% ( -0.2)	51.72% ( 0.74)

Both teams to score 59.72% (

0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.48% (

0.43)

40.52% (

-0.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.1% (

0.44)

62.9% (

-0.44)

New Zealand Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.9% (

-0.18)

29.09% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.99% (

-0.22)

65.01% (

0.22)

Philippines Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.22% (

0.42)

15.78% (

-0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.09% (

0.76)

44.91% (

-0.76)

Score Analysis

New Zealand Women 25.51%

Philippines Women 51.73%

Draw 22.76%

New Zealand Women	Draw	Philippines Women
2-1 @ 6.46% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 5.67% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 3.5% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 2.66% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.33% Total : 25.51%	1-1 @ 10.46% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.59% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.76%	1-2 @ 9.66% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 8.48% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 7.83% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 5.95% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 4.82% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 3.67% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 2.75% ( 0.09) 0-4 @ 2.22% ( 0.08) 2-4 @ 1.7% ( 0.05) 1-5 @ 1.01% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.64% Total : 51.73%