Women's World Cup
Jul 25, 2023 6.30am
0
1
HT : 0 2
FT Westpac Stadium
  • Hannah Wilkinson 42' yellowcard
  • goal Sarina Bolden 24'
  • goal Sarina Bolden 24'
  • yellowcard Angela Beard 49'

New Zealand Women vs Philippines Women - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

New Zealand Women

All competitions
Women's World Cup
Last game
Jul 20, 2023 8.00am
New Zealand W 1 - 0 Norway Women

Philippines Women

All competitions
Women's World Cup
Last game
Jul 21, 2023 6.00am
Philippines W 0 - 2 Switzerland W

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philippines Women win with a probability of 51.72%. A win for New Zealand Women had a probability of 25.51% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philippines Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.48%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest New Zealand Women win was 2-1 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Philippines Women would win this match.

Result

New Zealand Women 25.51% (-0.54)
Draw 22.77% (-0.20)
Philippines Women 51.72% (+0.74)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.72% (+0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.48% (+0.44)
Under 2.5 40.52% (-0.44)
Over 3.5 37.1% (+0.45)
Under 3.5 62.9% (-0.45)
Over 4.5 19.86% (+0.35)
Under 4.5 80.14% (-0.35)

New Zealand Women Goals

Over 0.5 70.9% (-0.19)
Under 0.5 29.09% (+0.19)
Over 1.5 34.99% (-0.23)
Under 1.5 65.01% (+0.23)

Philippines Women Goals

Over 0.5 84.22% (+0.42)
Under 0.5 15.78% (-0.42)
Over 1.5 55.09% (+0.77)
Under 1.5 44.91% (-0.77)

Score analysis

New Zealand Women 25.51%
Draw 22.76%
Philippines Women 51.73%
New Zealand Women
2-1 @ 6.46% (-0.11)
1-0 @ 5.67% (-0.15)
2-0 @ 3.5% (-0.11)
3-1 @ 2.66% (-0.06)
3-2 @ 2.46% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.44% (-0.06)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 25.51%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.46% (-0.11)
2-2 @ 5.97% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.59% (-0.10)
3-3 @ 1.51% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 22.76%
Philippines Women
1-2 @ 9.66% (+0.04)
0-1 @ 8.48% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 7.83% (+0.07)
1-3 @ 5.95% (+0.11)
0-3 @ 4.82% (+0.11)
2-3 @ 3.67% (+0.05)
1-4 @ 2.75% (+0.09)
0-4 @ 2.22% (+0.09)
2-4 @ 1.7% (+0.05)
1-5 @ 1.01% (-95.79)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 51.73%