Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 87.51%. A draw had a probability of 8.4% and a win for Crystal Palace Women had a probability of 4.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.41%) and 4-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.81%), while for a Crystal Palace Women win it was 1-2 (1.33%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.