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Women's Super League | Gameweek 22
May 10, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
Academy Stadium

Man City
5 - 2
Crystal Palace

Kerolin (17', 86'), Roord (64'), Knaak (67', 90+4')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Weerden (4'), Gejl (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Women's Super League clash between Manchester City Women and Crystal Palace Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crystal Palace 2-2 Leicester
Sunday, May 4 at 2pm in Women's Super League

We said: Manchester City Women 4-0 Crystal Palace Women

While they have struggled to find their best form in the last couple of months, Man City should still have enough quality to see off the WSL's bottom side, and we believe that they will do just that by producing a free-scoring display in Saturday's home clash. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 87.51%. A draw had a probability of 8.4% and a win for Crystal Palace Women had a probability of 4.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.41%) and 4-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.81%), while for a Crystal Palace Women win it was 1-2 (1.33%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.

Result
Manchester City WomenDrawCrystal Palace Women
87.51% (0.0010000000000048 0) 8.4% (0.0020000000000007 0) 4.08%
Both teams to score 48.64% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
78.24% (0.00099999999999056 0)21.76% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
59.43% (0.00099999999999767 0)40.57% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Manchester City Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.82% (0.0030000000000001 0)3.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
85.84% (0.0020000000000095 0)14.16%
Crystal Palace Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.24% (0.0019999999999953 0)49.76% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.51%84.49% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Manchester City Women 87.51%
    Crystal Palace Women 4.08%
    Draw 8.4%
Manchester City WomenDrawCrystal Palace Women
3-0 @ 10.81%
2-0 @ 9.41% (0.00099999999999945 0)
4-0 @ 9.32%
3-1 @ 7.55% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-1 @ 6.57%
4-1 @ 6.51%
5-0 @ 6.43%
1-0 @ 5.46%
5-1 @ 4.49%
6-0 @ 3.69%
3-2 @ 2.63%
6-1 @ 2.58%
4-2 @ 2.27%
7-0 @ 1.82%
5-2 @ 1.57%
7-1 @ 1.27%
Other @ 5.14%
Total : 87.51%
1-1 @ 3.81% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-2 @ 2.29% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 1.58%
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 8.4%
1-2 @ 1.33%
0-1 @ 1.11%
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 4.08%

Head to Head
Nov 3, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 6
Crystal Palace
0-3
Man City
Park (40'), Roord (50'), Shaw (73')
rhs 2.0
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