Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 66.98%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Manchester United Women had a probability of 15.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.31%) and 1-0 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.11%) , while for a Manchester United Women win it was 1-2 (4.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.