Women's Super League
May 16, 2026 1.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Wheatsheaf Park
  • Samantha May Kerr 34' goal
  • Wieke Hendrikje Maria Kaptein 54' yellowcard
  • Agnes Elizabeth Beever-Jones 79' yellowcard
  • Livia Maïté Peng 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Sandy Madeleine Baltimore 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Mayra Tatiana Ramírez Ramírez 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Hanna Ester Lundkvist 6'
  • yellowcard Hanna Ester Lundkvist 7'
  • yellowcard Jessica Park 46'
  • yellowcard Dominique Johanna Anna Petrone Janssen 81'
  • yellowcard Lea Schüller 82'
  • yellowcard Elisabeth Terland 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Elisabeth Terland 90'+5'

Chelsea Women vs Manchester United Women - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last game
May 3, 2026 2.30pm
Leicester 1 - 3 Chelsea
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Alyssa Thompson

Manchester United Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last game
May 2, 2026 12.00pm
Man Utd 1 - 1 Brighton
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Elisabeth Terland

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 66.98%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Manchester United Women had a probability of 15.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.31%) and 1-0 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.11%) , while for a Manchester United Women win it was 1-2 (4.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.

Result

Chelsea Women 66.98% (+1.57)
Draw 17.8% (-0.56)
Manchester United Women 15.17% (-1.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.88% (-0.20)

Goals

Over 1.5 84.53% (+0.24)
Under 1.5 15.47% (-0.23)
Over 2.5 65.35% (+0.42)
Under 2.5 34.65% (-0.43)
Over 3.5 42.98% (+0.41)
Under 3.5 57.02% (-0.41)
Over 4.5 29.12% (+0.45)
Under 4.5 70.88% (-0.44)

First Half Winner

Chelsea Women 51.41% (+0.59)
Draw 32.21% (-0.29)
Manchester United Women 16.38% (-0.31)

Team To Score First

Chelsea Women 66.37% (+0.56)
No Goal 3.4% (-0.10)
Manchester United Women 30.23% (-0.47)

Corners

Over 8 68.18% (+0.78)
Equal 8 9.86% (-0.05)
Under 8 21.96% (-0.72)
Over 9 57.27% (+0.75)
Equal 9 10.91% (+0.03)
Under 9 31.82% (-0.78)
Over 10.5 46.19% (+0.65)
Under 10.5 53.81% (-0.65)

Chelsea Women Goals

Over 1.5 66.37% (+1.19)
Under 1.5 33.63% (-1.19)
Over 2.5 40.01% (+1.26)
Under 2.5 59.99% (-1.26)
Over 3.5 20.18% (+0.74)
Under 3.5 79.82% (-0.74)

Manchester United Women Goals

Over 0.5 51.6% (-1.18)
Under 0.5 48.4% (+1.18)
Over 1.5 22.43% (-1.11)
Under 1.5 77.57% (+1.11)
Over 2.5 6.71% (-0.58)
Under 2.5 93.29% (+0.58)
Over 3.5 1.83% (-0.21)
Under 3.5 98.17% (+0.22)

Score analysis

Chelsea Women 66.98%
Draw 17.81%
Manchester United Women 15.17%
Chelsea Women
2-1 @ 10.4% (+0.07)
2-0 @ 9.31% (+0.16)
1-0 @ 8.53% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 7.16% (+0.21)
3-0 @ 7.06% (+0.33)
3-2 @ 4.46% (+0.06)
Other @ 20.06% (+0.77)
Total : 66.98%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.11% (-0.18)
2-2 @ 5.03% (-0.17)
0-0 @ 3.4% (-0.10)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.08)
Other @ 0.12% (-0.05)
Total : 17.81%
Manchester United Women
1-2 @ 4.47% (-0.30)
0-1 @ 3.5% (-0.15)
0-2 @ 1.76% (-0.14)
1-3 @ 1.67% (-0.10)
2-3 @ 1.62% (-0.11)
Other @ 1.71% (-0.17)
Total : 15.17%

Head to Head

Women's FA Cup
Feb 22, 2026 1.30pm
2
1
ET Wheatsheaf Park
  • Samantha Kerr 78' goal
  • Naomi Girma 99' goal
  • goal S. Awujo 81'
Women's Super League
Oct 3, 2025 7.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Women's FA Cup
May 18, 2025 1.30pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Wembley Stadium
  • Sandy Baltimore 45' goal
  • Sandy Baltimore 45' goal
  • Catarina Macario 84' goal
  • Catarina Macario 84' goal
  • Sandy Baltimore 90' goal
  • Sandy Baltimore 90' goal
Women's Super League Gameweek 20
Apr 30, 2025 8.15pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Leigh Sports Village Stadium
  • Melvine Malard 48' yellowcard
  • goal Lucy Bronze 74'
Women's Super League Gameweek 3
Nov 24, 2024 12.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Kingsmeadow
  • Guro Reiten 17' goal
  • Erin Cuthbert 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Phallon Tullis-Joyce 16'
  • yellowcard Wouter Deman 30'
  • yellowcard Grace Clinton 40'
  • yellowcard Dominique Bloodworth 74'
Women's Super League Gameweek 22
May 18, 2024 3.00pm
0
6
HT : 0 4
FT Old Trafford
  • Lucia Garcia 67' yellowcard
  • goal Mayra Ramirez 2'
  • goal Johanna Rytting-Kaneryd 8'
  • goal Sjoeke Nusken 44'
  • goal Mayra Ramirez 45'+2'
  • goal Melanie Leupolz 47'
  • goal Fran Kirby 85'