Sep 27, 2026 4.30pm

1

0

HT : 1 0

FT Stamford Bridge

Alyssa Paola Thompson 39'
Katie Alison McCabe 45'
Lucia Roberta Tough Bronze 45'+3'

Chelsea Women vs Arsenal Women - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Chelsea vs Arsenal - prediction, team news, lineups

Preview: Chelsea vs Arsenal - prediction, team news, lineups

Football | 25 Sep 2026 23:26

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea Women

All competitions

D
W
W
W
D
W

Women's Super League

W
W
D
W
W
W

Last game

Sep 19, 2026 12.45pm

Chelsea 2 - 0 B'ham Women

Goals scored

28

Top scorer

Melvine Marie Ericka Malard

Arsenal Women

All competitions

W
D
D
W
W
W

Women's Super League

D
D
W
W
W
W

Last game

Sep 19, 2026 5.30pm

Arsenal 1 - 1 Man Utd

Goals scored

10

Top scorer

Alessia Mia Teresa Russo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 43.4%. A win for Arsenal Women had a probability of 33.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.93%) and 2-0 (5.64%). The likeliest Arsenal Women win was 1-2 (8.33%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result

Chelsea Women 43.4% ▼ (-0.11)

Draw 23.43% ▼ (-0.08)

Arsenal Women 33.16% ▲ (+0.22)

Both Teams to Score:

59.83% ▼ (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.9% ▲ (+0.24)

Under 1.5 18.1% ▼ (-0.23)

Over 2.5 60.23% ▲ (+0.26)

Under 2.5 39.77% ▼ (-0.26)

Over 3.5 36.59% ▲ (+0.07)

Under 3.5 63.41% ▼ (-0.07)

Over 4.5 21.91% ▲ (+0.11)

Under 4.5 78.09% ▼ (-0.10)

First Half Winner

Chelsea Women 35.83% ▲ (+0.19)

Draw 33.36% ▼ (-0.61)

Arsenal Women 30.81% ▲ (+0.42)

Team To Score First

Chelsea Women 53.08% ▼ (-0.11)

No Goal 4.07% ▼ (-0.02)

Arsenal Women 42.85% ▲ (+0.13)

Corners

Over 8 65.96% ▼ (-0.95)

Equal 8 10.5% ▲ (+0.09)

Under 8 23.54% ▲ (+0.85)

Over 9 54.56% ▼ (-0.94)

Equal 9 11.41% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 9 34.04% ▲ (+0.94)

Over 10.5 43.22% ▼ (-0.86)

Under 10.5 56.78% ▲ (+0.86)

Chelsea Women Goals

Over 1.5 46.46% ▲ (+0.03)

Under 1.5 53.54% ▼ (-0.03)

Over 2.5 22.54% ▼ (-0.02)

Under 2.5 77.46% ▲ (+0.02)

Over 3.5 8.47% ▲ (+0.03)

Under 3.5 91.53% ▼ (-0.02)

Arsenal Women Goals

Over 0.5 70.39% ▲ (+0.15)

Under 0.5 29.61% ▼ (-0.15)

Over 1.5 38.89% ▲ (+0.25)

Under 1.5 61.11% ▼ (-0.25)

Over 2.5 15.83% ▲ (+0.22)

Under 2.5 84.17% ▼ (-0.21)

Over 3.5 5.64% ▲ (+0.09)

Under 3.5 94.36% ▼ (-0.08)

Score analysis

Chelsea Women 43.4%

Draw 23.43%

Arsenal Women 33.17%

Chelsea Women

2-1 @ 9.3% ▲ (+0.05)

1-0 @ 7.93% ▼ (-0.13)

2-0 @ 5.64% ▲ (+0.01)

3-1 @ 4.98% ▼ (-0.04)

3-0 @ 3.77% ▲ (+0.02)

3-2 @ 3.58% ▼ (-0.03)

Other @ 8.2% ▲ (+0.02)

Total : 43.4%

Draw

1-1 @ 11.12% ▼ (-0.06)

2-2 @ 6.23% ▼ (-0.02)

0-0 @ 4.07% ▼ (-0.02)

3-3 @ 1.74% ▲ (+0.03)

Other @ 0.27%

Total : 23.43%

Arsenal Women

1-2 @ 8.33% ▲ (+0.07)

0-1 @ 6.1% ▼ (-0.06)

0-2 @ 4.92% ▲ (+0.02)

1-3 @ 3.46% ▲ (+0.03)

2-3 @ 2.75% ▲ (+0.01)

0-3 @ 2.24% ▲ (+0.09)

Other @ 5.37% ▲ (+0.09)

Total : 33.17%

Head to Head

Apr 1, 2026 8.00pm

1

0

ET Stamford Bridge

Ellie Carpenter 48'
Sandy Madeleine Baltimore 60'
Niamh Louise Charles 60'
Lauren Elizabeth James 62'
Wieke Hendrikje Maria Kaptein 84'
Sjoeke Nüsken 90'+4'
Sonia Bompastor 90'+6'
Sonia Bompastor 90'+7'

Taylor Hinds 45'+1'
Taylor Hinds 65'
Smilla Hilma Holmberg 69'
Bethany Jane Mead 69'
Frida Leonhardsen Maanum 84'
Laia Codina Panedas 84'

Mar 24, 2026 8.00pm

3

1

HT : 2 0

FT Emirates Stadium

Emma Stina Blackstenius 22'
Chloe Maggie Kelly 32'
Laia Codina Panedas 35'
Taylor Hinds 46'
Olivia Smith 60'
Alessia Mia Teresa Russo 76'
Frida Leonhardsen Maanum 78'
Smilla Hilma Holmberg 78'
Victoria Pelova 90'+3'

Lauren Elizabeth James 28'
Anna Johanna Rytting Kaneryd 57'
Lauren Elizabeth James 66'
Wieke Hendrikje Maria Kaptein 83'

Jan 24, 2026 12.30pm

0

2

HT : 0 0

FT Stamford Bridge

Keira Fae Walsh 56'
Lauren Elizabeth James 57'
Anna Johanna Rytting Kaneryd 66'
Agnes Beever-Jones 66'
Sjoeke Nüsken 77'

Bethany Jane Mead 15'
Bethany Jane Mead 55'
María Francesca Caldentey Oliver 61'
Victoria Pelova 69'
Smilla Hilma Holmberg 79'
Laia Codina Panedas 88'
Taylor Hinds 88'

Nov 8, 2025 12.00pm

1

1

HT : 0 1

FT Emirates Stadium

Katie McCabe 55'
Victoria Pelova 64'
Alessia Mia Teresa Russo 87'

Alyssa Thompson 9'

Jan 26, 2025 12.30pm

1

0

HT : 0 0

FT Stamford Bridge

Guro Reiten 84'
Erin Cuthbert 90'

Katie McCabe 83'
Katie McCabe 83'

Oct 12, 2024 1.45pm

1

2

HT : 1 2

FT Meadow Park

Leah Williamson 33'
Caitlin Foord 43'
Caitlin Foord 52'

Mayra Ramirez 4'
Sandy Baltimore 16'
Sandy Baltimore 88'
Erin Cuthbert 90'+1'
Nathalie Bjorn 90'+1'

Form Data

Chelsea 0 - 0 Austria Wien W

Chelsea 1 - 0 Austria Wien W

Chelsea 2 - 0 B'ham Women

Man Utd 0 - 5 Chelsea

Chelsea 1 - 1 Aston Villa

Real Sociedad W 0 - 1 Chelsea

Arsenal 1 - 0 Køge

Arsenal 1 - 1 Man Utd

Arsenal 0 - 0 Crystal Palace

Brighton 0 - 1 Arsenal

Liverpool 1 - 3 Arsenal

Arsenal 1 - 0 Everton