Women's Super League Gameweek 3
Sep 19, 2026 12.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stamford Bridge
  • Alexia Potter 8' goal
  • Melvine Marie Ericka Malard 71' goal
  • Keira Fae Walsh 90'+1' yellowcard

Chelsea Women vs Birmingham City Women - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last game
Sep 13, 2026 12.00pm
Man Utd 0 - 5 Chelsea
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Lauren Elizabeth James

Birmingham City Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last game
Sep 13, 2026 2.00pm
B'ham Women 2 - 2 Brighton
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Oceane Hurtre

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 75.17%. A draw had a probability of 13.67% and a win for Birmingham City Women had a probability of 11.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.1%) , while for a Birmingham City Women win it was 1-2 (3.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result

Chelsea Women 75.17% ▼ (-0.08)
Draw 13.67%
Birmingham City Women 11.15% ▲ (+0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.81%

Goals

Over 1.5 87.01% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 12.99% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 2.5 70.84% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 2.5 29.16% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 3.5 47.22% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 3.5 52.78% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 4.5 34.7% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 4.5 65.3% ▲ (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Chelsea Women 56.63% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 28.74% ▲ (+0.01)
Birmingham City Women 14.63% ▲ (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Chelsea Women 72.46%
No Goal 2.86%
Birmingham City Women 24.68%

Corners

Over 8 69.15% ▼ (-0.72)
Equal 8 9.55% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 8 21.3% ▲ (+0.86)
Over 9 58.5% ▼ (-0.48)
Equal 9 10.65% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 9 30.85% ▲ (+0.73)
Over 10.5 47.58% ▼ (-0.20)
Under 10.5 52.42% ▲ (+0.20)

Chelsea Women Goals

Over 1.5 73.43% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 1.5 26.57% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 2.5 49.87% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 2.5 50.13% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 3.5 27.48% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 72.52% ▲ (+0.04)

Birmingham City Women Goals

Over 0.5 43.92% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 0.5 56.08% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 1.5 17.36% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 82.64% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 4.55% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 95.45% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 1.11%
Under 3.5 98.89%

Score analysis

Chelsea Women 75.18%
Draw 13.67%
Birmingham City Women 11.15%
Chelsea Women
2-1 @ 9.89% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 9.36% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 8.92% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 7.92% ▼ (-0.03)
1-0 @ 7.48% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 4.15% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 27.46% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 75.18%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.1% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 3.73%
0-0 @ 2.86%
Other @ 0.02% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 13.67%
Birmingham City Women
1-2 @ 3.79% ▲ (+0.03)
0-1 @ 2.65% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 1.14% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 1.09% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 11.15%

Head to Head

Women's Super League Gameweek 21
May 1, 2022 6.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Abbie Cowie 35' yellowcard
  • Lisa Robertson 43' yellowcard
  • Harriet Scott 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Pernille Mosegaard-Harder 71'
  • yellowcard Ann-Katrin Berger 90'+4'
Women's Super League Gameweek 8
Nov 21, 2021 2.00pm
5
0
HT : 4 0
FT
  • Fran Kirby 4' goal
  • Samantha Kerr 18' goal
  • Samantha Kerr 29' goal
  • Samantha Kerr 44' goal
  • Fran Kirby 75' goal
  • Millie Bright 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gemma Lawley 63'
Women's Super League Gameweek 13
Apr 4, 2021 12.30pm
6
0
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Samantha Kerr 25' goal
  • Samantha Kerr 45' goal
  • Samantha Kerr 45'+3' goal
  • Fran Kirby 61' goal
  • Guro Reiten 73' goal
  • Drew Spence 80' yellowcard
  • Fran Kirby 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Ruesha Littlejohn 45'+2'
Women's Super League Gameweek 3
Oct 4, 2020 2.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Fran Kirby 9'
Women's Super League Gameweek 10
Feb 12, 2020 7.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Guro Reiten 45' goal
  • Bethany England 58' goal
Women's Super League
Nov 24, 2019 2.45pm
0
6
HT : 0 3
FT
  • goal Ji So-yun 2'
  • goal Millie Bright 37'
  • goal Bethany England 45'
  • goal Drew Spence 48'
  • goal Drew Spence 52'
  • goal Bethany England 63'