Women's Champions League
Sep 2, 2026 7.00pm
Estadio Alfredo Di Stéfano

Real Madrid Femenino vs Ajax Women - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid Femenino

All competitions
Women's Champions League
Last game
Aug 26, 2026 6.30pm
Ajax 0 - 2 Real Madrid

Ajax Women

All competitions
Women's Champions League
Last game
Aug 26, 2026 6.30pm
Ajax 0 - 2 Real Madrid

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Real Madrid Femenino win with a probability of 54.48%. A win for Ajax Women has a probability of 24.08% and a draw has a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid Femenino win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Ajax Women win is 1-2 (5.88%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.6%).

Result

Real Madrid Femenino 54.48% (-1.57)
Draw 21.4% (+0.42)
Ajax Women 24.08% (+1.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.51% (+0.65)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.18% (+0.86)
Under 1.5 18.82% (-0.86)
Over 2.5 60.59% (+1.49)
Under 2.5 39.38% (-1.51)
Over 3.5 38.66% (+1.87)
Under 3.5 61.34% (-1.87)
Over 4.5 24.92% (+1.49)
Under 4.5 75.08% (-1.49)

First Half Winner

Real Madrid Femenino 40.56% (+1.18)
Draw 35.53% (-0.36)
Ajax Women 23.9% (-0.84)

Team To Score First

Real Madrid Femenino 61.69% (+0.25)
No Goal 4.84% (-0.20)
Ajax Women 33.47% (-0.07)

Corners

Over 8 51.31% (-2.90)
Equal 8 10.55% (+0.56)
Under 8 38.14% (+2.33)
Over 9 41.02% (-3.17)
Equal 9 10.29% (+0.28)
Under 9 48.69% (+2.90)
Over 10.5 31.72% (-3.18)
Under 10.5 68.28% (+3.19)

Real Madrid Femenino Goals

Over 1.5 54.69% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 45.31% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 30.06% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 69.94% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 13.3% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 86.7% (+0.07)

Ajax Women Goals

Over 0.5 60.14% (+1.60)
Under 0.5 39.86% (-1.60)
Over 1.5 30.02% (+2.22)
Under 1.5 69.98% (-2.22)
Over 2.5 11.48% (+1.80)
Under 2.5 88.52% (-1.80)
Over 3.5 4.23% (+0.91)
Under 3.5 95.77% (-0.91)

Score analysis

Real Madrid Femenino 54.5%
Draw 21.4%
Ajax Women 24.08%
Real Madrid Femenino
2-1 @ 9.46% (-0.21)
1-0 @ 8.94% (-0.49)
2-0 @ 7.66% (-0.48)
3-1 @ 6.04% (-0.13)
3-0 @ 5.3% (-0.28)
3-2 @ 4% (+0.21)
Other @ 13.1% (-0.19)
Total : 54.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.6% (-0.12)
2-2 @ 5.34% (+0.34)
0-0 @ 4.84% (-0.20)
3-3 @ 1.42% (+0.26)
Other @ 0.2% (+0.13)
Total : 21.4%
Ajax Women
1-2 @ 5.88% (-0.05)
0-1 @ 5.02% (-0.20)
0-2 @ 3.32% (-0.08)
1-3 @ 2.37% (+0.21)
2-3 @ 2.17% (+0.30)
0-3 @ 1.29% (+0.14)
Other @ 4.03% (+0.78)
Total : 24.08%

Head to Head

Women's Champions League
Aug 26, 2026 6.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Sportpark De Toekomst
  • yellowcard Eva Maria Navarro 19'
  • goal Sara Linnea Felicia Schröder 42'
  • goal Janou Levels 73'