Women's Champions League
Aug 26, 2026 6.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Sportpark De Toekomst
  • yellowcard Eva Maria Navarro 19'
  • goal Sara Linnea Felicia Schröder 42'
  • goal Janou Levels 73'

Ajax Women vs Real Madrid Femenino - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax Women

All competitions

Real Madrid Femenino

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid Femenino win with a probability of 43.19%. A win for Ajax Women had a probability of 35.44% and a draw had a probability of 21.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid Femenino win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.74%) and 0-2 (5.81%). The likeliest Ajax Women win was 2-1 (7.56%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result

Ajax Women 35.44% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 21.38%
Real Madrid Femenino 43.19% ▼ (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.03%

Goals

Over 1.5 83.3% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 16.7% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 63.3% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 36.7% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 41.11% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 58.89% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 4.5 26.36% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 73.64% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Ajax Women 29.75% ▲ (+0.08)
Draw 37.43%
Real Madrid Femenino 32.81% ▼ (-0.08)

Team To Score First

Ajax Women 42.27% ▲ (+0.02)
No Goal 3.87% ▼ (-0.01)
Real Madrid Femenino 53.86%

Corners

Over 8 47.6% ▼ (-0.02)
Equal 8 11.23%
Under 8 41.17% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 9 37.05% ▼ (-0.02)
Equal 9 10.56%
Under 9 52.4% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 10.5 27.86% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 10.5 72.14% ▲ (+0.02)

Ajax Women Goals

Over 1.5 41.25% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 58.75% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 19.1%
Under 2.5 80.9%
Over 3.5 7.86% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 92.14% ▼ (-0.02)

Real Madrid Femenino Goals

Over 0.5 75.16% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 0.5 24.84% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 1.5 47.6% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 52.4% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 24.15% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 75.85% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 9.94% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 90.06% ▲ (+0.04)

Score analysis

Ajax Women 35.43%
Draw 21.37%
Real Madrid Femenino 43.19%
Ajax Women
2-1 @ 7.56% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 6.08%
2-0 @ 4.7% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.76%
3-2 @ 3.15% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.57%
Other @ 7.61% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 35.43%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.5% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.99% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 3.87% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.76%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 21.37%
Real Madrid Femenino
1-2 @ 8.5% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 6.74%
0-2 @ 5.81% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 4.99% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.9% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.56%
Other @ 9.69% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 43.19%