Women's Champions League
Aug 26, 2026 6.30pm
Sportpark De Toekomst

Ajax Women vs Real Madrid Femenino - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax Women

All competitions

Real Madrid Femenino

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Real Madrid Femenino win with a probability of 43.21%. A win for Ajax Women has a probability of 35.41% and a draw has a probability of 21.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid Femenino win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (6.74%) and 0-2 (5.82%). The likeliest Ajax Women win is 2-1 (7.55%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.51%).

Result

Ajax Women 35.41% (+0.01)
Draw 21.38% (+0.01)
Real Madrid Femenino 43.21% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.03%

Goals

Over 1.5 83.31% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 16.69% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 63.29%
Under 2.5 36.71%
Over 3.5 41.12% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 58.88% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 26.38% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 73.62% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Ajax Women 29.68% (-0.08)
Draw 37.43%
Real Madrid Femenino 32.89% (+0.08)

Team To Score First

Ajax Women 42.26% (-0.02)
No Goal 3.88% (+0.01)
Real Madrid Femenino 53.86%

Corners

Over 8 47.62% (+0.02)
Equal 8 11.23% (+0.01)
Under 8 41.15% (-0.03)
Over 9 37.06% (+0.02)
Equal 9 10.56%
Under 9 52.38% (-0.02)
Over 10.5 27.87% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 72.13% (-0.02)

Ajax Women Goals

Over 1.5 41.21% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 58.79% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 19.1% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 80.9% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 7.85%
Under 3.5 92.15%

Real Madrid Femenino Goals

Over 0.5 75.19% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 24.81% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 47.63% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 52.37% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 24.18% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 75.82% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 9.97% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 90.03% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Ajax Women 35.41%
Draw 21.38%
Real Madrid Femenino 43.22%
Ajax Women
2-1 @ 7.55% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 6.08% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 4.69%
3-1 @ 3.76%
3-2 @ 3.16% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.57%
Other @ 7.6%
Total : 35.41%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.51% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.98% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.88% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.76%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 21.38%
Real Madrid Femenino
1-2 @ 8.49% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 6.74% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.82%
1-3 @ 5% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 3.89% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.56% (-0.01)
Other @ 9.72% (+0.03)
Total : 43.22%