Women's Champions League
Feb 18, 2026 5.45pm
Estadio Alfredo Di Stéfano

Real Madrid Femenino vs Paris Women - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid Femenino

All competitions
Women's Champions League
Last game
Feb 11, 2026 8.00pm
Paris 2 - 3 Real Madrid

Paris Women

All competitions
Women's Champions League
Last game
Feb 11, 2026 8.00pm
Paris 2 - 3 Real Madrid

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Real Madrid Femenino win with a probability of 59.81%. A draw has a probability of 20.74% and a win for Paris Women has a probability of 19.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid Femenino win is 2-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.56%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.8%) , while for a Paris Women win it is 0-1 (5.12%).

Result

Real Madrid Femenino 59.81% (-2.27)
Draw 20.74% (+1.40)
Paris Women 19.41% (+0.86)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.97% (-0.38)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.15% (-0.27)
Under 1.5 19.85% (+0.28)
Over 2.5 57.76% (-0.54)
Under 2.5 42.24% (+0.54)
Over 3.5 34.89% (-0.54)
Under 3.5 65.11% (+0.54)
Over 4.5 22.83% (-0.39)
Under 4.5 77.17% (+0.38)

First Half Winner

Real Madrid Femenino 41.84% (-1.77)
Draw 36.53% (+0.71)
Paris Women 21.63% (+1.08)

Team To Score First

Real Madrid Femenino 58.64% (-4.72)
No Goal 5.16% (+0.42)
Paris Women 36.2% (+4.30)

Corners

Over 8 52.19% (+0.69)
Equal 8 11.55% (+0.24)
Under 8 36.26% (-0.92)
Over 9 40.92% (+0.43)
Equal 9 11.27% (+0.27)
Under 9 47.81% (-0.69)
Over 10.5 30.78% (+0.16)
Under 10.5 69.22% (-0.16)

Real Madrid Femenino Goals

Over 1.5 57.69% (-1.18)
Under 1.5 42.31% (+1.18)
Over 2.5 32% (-1.26)
Under 2.5 68% (+1.27)
Over 3.5 14.94% (-0.32)
Under 3.5 85.06% (+0.32)

Paris Women Goals

Over 0.5 53.53% (+0.90)
Under 0.5 46.47% (-0.90)
Over 1.5 23.39% (+0.68)
Under 1.5 76.61% (-0.69)
Over 2.5 7.58% (+0.83)
Under 2.5 92.42% (-0.83)
Over 3.5 2.12% (+0.21)
Under 3.5 97.88% (-0.21)

Score analysis

Real Madrid Femenino 59.82%
Draw 20.75%
Paris Women 19.42%
Real Madrid Femenino
2-0 @ 9.81% (-0.29)
1-0 @ 9.56% (-0.37)
2-1 @ 9.56% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 7.13% (-0.21)
3-1 @ 5.66% (-0.43)
3-2 @ 3.3% (-0.50)
Other @ 14.8% (-0.44)
Total : 59.82%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.8% (+0.45)
0-0 @ 5.16% (+0.42)
2-2 @ 4.68% (+0.22)
Other @ 0.14% (+0.13)
Total : 20.75%
Paris Women
0-1 @ 5.12% (+0.24)
1-2 @ 5.06% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.77% (+0.13)
1-3 @ 1.73% (+0.07)
2-3 @ 1.64% (+0.17)
0-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 1.98% (+0.08)
Total : 19.42%

Head to Head

Women's Champions League
Feb 11, 2026 8.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Kaja Korosec 10' goal
  • Fiona Liaigre 59' yellowcard
  • Klaudia Jedlińska 72' yellowcard
  • Maeline Mendy 72' yellowcard
  • Nora Harnes Håheim 83' yellowcard
  • Kysha Sylla 83' yellowcard
  • Nora Harnes Håheim 84' yellowcard
  • Kysha Sylla 84' yellowcard
  • Maeline Mendy 89' goal
  • goal Caroline Weir 39'
  • goal Athenea del Castillo 45'
  • yellowcard Sandie Toletti 71'
  • goal Linda Caicedo 83'
Women's Champions League
Nov 11, 2025 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Women's Champions League
Dec 20, 2023 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Ciudad Real Madrid Campo 3
  • yellowcard Julie Soyer 21'
  • yellowcard Mathilde Bourdieu 42'
  • goal Gaetane Thiney 79'
  • yellowcard Lou Bogaert 86'
  • yellowcard Thea Greboval 90'+4'
Women's Champions League
Dec 14, 2023 5.45pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Stade Robert Bobin
  • Julie Dufour 4' goal
  • Gaetane Thiney 6' goal
  • yellowcard Ivana Andres 35'
  • goal Caroline Moller 53'
  • yellowcard Teresa Abilleira 88'