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Sevilla logo
Europa League | Last 16 | 1st Leg
Mar 10, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
West Ham logo

Sevilla
1 - 0
West Ham

El Haddadi (60')
Ocampos (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Zouma (58'), Lanzini (76'), Rice (90')

Preview: Sevilla vs. West Ham United - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Sevilla and West Ham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

West Ham United return to Europa League action on Thursday evening for the first leg of their last-16 tie with Sevilla.

While the Hammers make the trip to Estadio Ramon Sánchez Pizjuan sitting in sixth position in the Premier League standings, the Spanish giants are second in La Liga.


Match preview

West Ham United manager David Moyes during the match on March 5, 2022© Reuters

With three months having passed since their last fixture in this competition, West Ham supporters can be forgiven for forgetting about the Europa League, but that will certainly not be the case now as they prepare for one of their most prestigious fixtures in their history.

A two-legged tie with Barcelona would have whetted the appetite more so than a double-header with Sevilla, although that was not the opinion of David Moyes who feels that his team have been provided with the toughest test possible.

That particularly rings true when taking into consideration that West Ham have won just one of their last five fixtures in all competitions, with successive defeats being recorded at Southampton and Liverpool respectively.

Although the London outfit gave a good account of themselves at Anfield, it was a result which leaves them as outsiders for the Premier League top four, perhaps resulting in Moyes placing more priority on winning this tournament.

West Ham topped a group involving Dinamo Zagreb, Genk and Rapid Vienna to reach this stage of the competition, collecting 13 points from their six fixtures.

Sevilla coach Julen Lopetegui reacts on February 17, 2022© Reuters

Sevilla have one of those opponents in common with West Ham having recently come through a tie with Dinamo Zagreb, losing the second leg in Croatia to only prevail 3-2 on aggregate.

Julen Lopetegui was left relieved that Los Nervionenses did just enough to progress further in a competition which they have won six times since 2005-06.

Despite occupying second spot in La Liga, trailing leaders Real Madrid by eight points, Sevilla have won just three of their last 10 matches in all competitions.

Friday's stalemate at Alaves was their fourth league draw in six games, although a clean sheet ensured that they remain with the best defensive record in Spain.

Sevilla have not suffered defeat at Estadio Ramon Sánchez Pizjuan since losing to Lille in the Champions League back on November 2.

Sevilla Europa League form:
  • W
  • L

Sevilla form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • D

West Ham United Europa League form:
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • L

West Ham United form (all competitions):
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • L



Team News

West Ham United's Jarrod Bowen leaves the pitch after sustaining an injury on March 5, 2022 © Reuters

Jarrod Bowen is a major doubt for West Ham after suffering a heel injury at Liverpool, but Moyes will hope to have Declan Rice available after he missed the Anfield clash through illness.

Nikola Vlasic or Said Benrahma will deputise on one of the flanks if playmaker Bowen is forced to sit out this contest.

Having played five of the six group-stage fixtures, goalkeeper Alphonse Areola will expect to be named between the sticks, although the same may not apply to Issa Diop with Kurt Zouma and Craig Dawson likely to keep their places.

With Anthony Martial struggling with injury and Youssef En-Nesyri on a long scoring drought, Rafa Mir may be recalled to the Sevilla attack.

Nemanja Gudelj is on standby to deputise for Diego Carlos, who is a doubt after missing the Alvaes game, but Thomas Delaney is suspended after his dismissal in Zagreb.

Sevilla possible starting lineup:
Bounou; Navas, Kounde, Carlos, Acuna; Jordan, Fernando, Rakitic; Corona, Mir, Ocampos

West Ham United possible starting lineup:
Areola; Fredericks, Dawson, Zouma, Cresswell; Rice, Soucek; Vlasic, Lanzini, Fornals; Antonio


SM words green background

We say: Sevilla 2-1 West Ham United

Despite the contrasting European experience of the two teams, this makes for an intriguing clash. West Ham will fancy their chances of collecting at least a draw ahead of the second leg in London, but we are backing Sevilla's extra cohesion and quality to prove decisive in claiming a narrow win.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



ID:480133:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect9998:
Written by
Darren Plant

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 58.45%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for West Ham United had a probability of 19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a West Ham United win it was 0-1 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sevilla in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sevilla.


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Game History

How you voted: Sevilla vs West Ham

Sevilla
64.7%
Draw
15.7%
West Ham United
19.6%
286
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Sevilla's Youssef En-Nesyri pictured on September 14, 2021
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