West Bromwich Albion play host to Blackburn Rovers on Monday night looking to end a run of three successive defeats in the Championship.
At a time when the Baggies have dropped outside of the playoffs, Blackburn are now in third position after failing to win any of their last three fixtures.
Match preview
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While Steve Bruce would have had high hopes of getting his West Brom reign off to a winning start, the size of his job became apparent to him as the Baggies went down 2-0 at Sheffield United.
West Brom were not helped by the sending off of Jake Livermore, but the end result was a third successive 2-0 defeat, extending a run of just one win from nine matches in all competitions.
The schedule gets no easier for Bruce and his squad with another three promotion rivals to come in succession, but there is an argument that West Brom will only remain in the playoff picture if they can collect points in such games.
Bruce must find a solution to his team's lack of goals during the first half of matches, the West Midlands outfit last netting in the opening 45 minutes all the way back on December 4.
Leading marksman Karlan Grant has netted just once in his last nine outings, while none of his teammates have contributed more than five goals in the league this season.
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While they still sit in third position in the table, Rovers will be deemed as a threat to the top two, but Tony Mowbray will have concerns about the recent progression of his team.
Although eight points have been collected from seven games in 2022, Rovers have lost their last two matches and failed to net in their last three.
At a time when they have played more fixtures than many of their promotion rivals, it is a worrying trend, and the North-West outfit realistically require all three points at The Hawthorns to keep the pressure on Fulham and Bournemnouth.
Nevertheless, they may be placing more attention on simply remaining in the playoffs, and ninth-placed West Brom only sit eight points adrift of Blackburn while also possessing a match in hand.
Top goalscorer Ben Brereton Diaz has failed to contribute a goal during his last five outings in all competitions.
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Team News
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Jayson Molumby is expected to replace West Brom midfielder Livermore, who starts a suspension for his second red card of the season.
Callum Robinson could feature on the flank, but the remainder of the team may stay the same with Bruce likely to be against making too many alterations.
With Blackburn defender Darragh Lenihan also serving a ban, Mowbray could revert back to a 3-4-1-2 formation, accommodating the return of Daniel Ayala.
Ryan Nyambe may be restored at right wing-back, with Ryan Giles being deployed in the same role on the opposite side of the pitch.
Sam Gallagher could also return to partner Brereton Diaz in the final third.
West Bromwich Albion possible starting lineup:
Johnstone; Furlong, Ajayi, Clarke, Townsend; Molumby, Mowatt; Robinson, Reach, Grant; Carroll
Blackburn Rovers possible starting lineup:
Kaminski; Van Hecke, Ayala, Wharton; Nyambe, Travis, Rothwell, Giles; Buckley; Khadra, Brereton Diaz
We say: West Bromwich Albion 1-1 Blackburn Rovers
All things considered, both clubs can ill-afford another game without success if they want to last the pace in their respective battles. However, confidence is diminishing in the two camps, and a hard-fought draw is the most likely outcome.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 46.44%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 26.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.08%) and 2-1 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.74%), while for a Blackburn Rovers win it was 0-1 (9.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
