MX23RW : Friday, March 29 01:32:59| >> :120:4066:4066:
[monks data]
Stoke logo
Championship | Gameweek 11
Oct 1, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
bet365 Stadium
West Brom logo

Stoke
1 - 0
West Brom

Powell (79')
Davies (75'), Surridge (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Livermore (51'), Johnstone (90+5')

Preview: Stoke City vs. West Bromwich Albion - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Stoke City and West Bromwich Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

West Bromwich Albion will look to extend their unbeaten Championship record to 11 matches when they face Stoke City on Friday night.

However, the Potters head into the fixture at the bet365 Stadium sitting just four points adrift of their opponents in the standings.


Match preview

West Bromwich Albion's Jake Livermore and Karlan Grant celebrate their second goal, an own goal scored by Cardiff City's Curtis Nelson on September 28, 2021© Reuters

On the back of three successive draws and going behind early to Queens Park Rangers, West Brom head coach Valerien Ismael faced the prospect of a difficult period in the dugout.

However, a dramatic comeback victory over the Hoops was followed by the demolition of Cardiff City on Tuesday evening, results which only strengthen the feeling that the Baggies will be difficult to stop this season.

Even with 20 goals to their name from 10 matches, Ismael will insist that his players need to be more clinical in the final third with none of this squad contributing more than four strikes.

Nevertheless, until a second-tier side show that they can overcome West Brom, they have the potential to become a juggernaut in the promotion race.

The biggest plus of the last two fixtures has been the form of Karlan Grant, who is finally beginning to justify the reported £15m fee which was shelled out for his services last October.

Stoke City's Nick Powell celebrates after scoring their first goal on September 28, 2021© Reuters

Stoke have had less luck with their centre forwards this campaign with none of their recognised frontmen netting more than twice in the Championship.

However, the versatile Nick Powell has returned from injury to prove his worth to this team, netting in games against Watford, Hull City and Preston North End respectively.

Michael O'Neill will not want to rely too heavily on the playmaker, particularly with the competition for places that he has created at the Potters.

There is also the hope that Tyrese Campbell will eventually feature alongside Powell in the final third now that he is closing in on a return from a serious knee injury.

That said, full focus will be on gaining a result on Friday night by any means necessary, a win being enough to move Stoke to within a point of their rivals.

Stoke City Championship form:
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • D

Stoke City form (all competitions):
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • D

West Bromwich Albion Championship form:
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • W



Team News

West Bromwich Albion manager Valerien Ismael pictured on September 14, 2021© Reuters

Despite the manner of his side's victory in South Wales, Ismael may be prepared to make at least one change to his West Brom XI.

Matt Phillips and Grady Diangana both made an impact as substitutes and could be favoured in a creative role.

Barring any unforeseen fitness issues, Jordan Hugill may be the player to miss out.

Stoke will have to make do without Sam Clucas after the midfielder collected his fifth yellow card at Deepdale on Tuesday.

O'Neill could freshen up his attack by replacing Jacob Brown with Sam Surridge in what may prove to be the only change to the starting lineup.

Stoke City possible starting lineup:
Davies; Ostigard, Souttar, Wilmot; Smith, Sawyers, Vrancic, Thompson, Tymon; Powell; Surridge

West Bromwich Albion possible starting lineup:
Johnstone; Ajayi, Bartley, Townsend; Furlong, Livermore, Mowatt, Reach; Phillips, Robinson, Grant


SM words green background

We say: Stoke City 1-2 West Bromwich Albion

This has all the makings of a competitive fixture, one which Stoke will be confident of winning given their recent upturn in form. However, we cannot back against the visitors, who are showing that they have the potential to surge clear in the promotion race.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 37.76%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 34.36% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.99%) and 0-2 (6.96%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 1-0 (10.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Stoke vs West Brom

Stoke City
24.9%
Draw
22.1%
West Bromwich Albion
53.0%
181
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West Bromwich Albion manager Valerien Ismael pictured on September 14, 2021
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