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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 10
Apr 19, 2025 at 1pm UK
Maes Tegid

Bala Town
3 - 2
Pen-y-Bont

Higgins (45'), Steven Edwards (50'), Nalatche Mendes (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Venables (73'), Crole (90' pen.)
Crole (5'), Kircough (35'), Pritchard (41'), Woodiwiss (79'), Venables (83')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Bala Town and Pen-y-Bont.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: New Saints 2-1 Bala Town
Friday, April 11 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 3-1 Caernarfon
Sunday, April 13 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 39.9%. A win for Bala Town had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (7.58%). The likeliest Bala Town win was 1-0 (10.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
Bala TownDrawPen-y-Bont
31.93% (-0.154 -0.15)28.16% (0.061 0.06)39.9% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Both teams to score 46.75% (-0.208 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.71% (-0.241 -0.24)59.29% (0.244 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.31% (-0.185 -0.19)79.69% (0.18899999999999 0.19)
Bala Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.87% (-0.23699999999999 -0.24)34.13% (0.239 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.18% (-0.256 -0.26)70.81% (0.25899999999999 0.26)
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.97% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)29.03% (0.062999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.07% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)64.93% (0.078999999999994 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Bala Town 31.93%
    Pen-y-Bont 39.9%
    Draw 28.16%
Bala TownDrawPen-y-Bont
1-0 @ 10.65% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 7.08% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.73% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.54% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.05% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.57% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 31.93%
1-1 @ 13.17% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.91% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.38% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 28.16%
0-1 @ 12.25% (0.09 0.09)
1-2 @ 8.15% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.58% (0.043 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.36% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.13% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.81% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.04% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 0.97% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 39.9%

Head to Head
Mar 8, 2025 2.30pm
Gameweek 5
Pen-y-Bont
3-2
Bala Town
Crole (15', 90+5'), Pritchard (61')
Woodiwiss (25'), Owen (36')
Malkin (51', 76')
Robles (33'), Malkin (58'), Malkin (58'), Lloyd (84')
Oct 26, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 14
Pen-y-Bont
1-1
Bala Town
Phillips (41')
Burke (90+4')
Newell (54'), Higgins (85')
Aug 31, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 5
Bala Town
1-2
Pen-y-Bont
Lloyd (18')
Newell (31'), Reffell (69')
Newell (32')
Crole (51'), Green (66')
Pritchard (29'), Borge (32'), Crole (84'), Crole (90+2')
Dec 2, 2023 5.15pm
Gameweek 18
Pen-y-Bont
0-2
Bala Town

Little (25'), MacDonald (39'), Davies (52'), Evans (90+1')
Mendes (4'), Edwards (12')
Shannon (39')
Sep 2, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 5
Bala Town
2-1
Pen-y-Bont
Newell (17'), Arsan (25')
Arsan (65')
Davies (58')
MacDonald (26'), Little (37'), Yorwerth (53'), Harling (81')
rhs 2.0


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