EFL Cup
Aug 8, 2026 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Vicarage Road
  • Edoardo Bove 24' yellowcard
  • Iker Bravo 63' yellowcard
  • Marc Bola 90'+9' goal
  • yellowcard Charlie Barker 62'
  • yellowcard Kellan Gordon 67'
  • yellowcard Pemi Aderoju 90'+7'

Watford vs Crawley Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Watford

All competitions

Crawley Town

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 44.78%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 31.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 0-1 (7.59%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result

Watford 44.78% (+0.08)
Draw 24.08%
Crawley Town 31.14% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.41% (-0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.53% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 23.47% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 53.59% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 46.41% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 31.24% (-0.15)
Under 3.5 68.76% (+0.15)
Over 4.5 18.22% (-0.09)
Under 4.5 81.78% (+0.10)

First Half Winner

Watford 34.56% (-0.02)
Draw 40.67% (+0.04)
Crawley Town 24.77% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Watford 52.81% (-0.09)
No Goal 6.44% (+0.03)
Crawley Town 40.75% (+0.08)

Corners

Over 8 68.6% (-0.02)
Equal 8 9.93%
Under 8 21.47% (+0.01)
Over 9 57.55% (-0.03)
Equal 9 11.05%
Under 9 31.4% (+0.01)
Over 10.5 46.29% (-0.03)
Under 10.5 53.71% (+0.03)

Watford Goals

Over 1.5 44.23% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 55.77% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 20.47% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 79.53% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 7.54% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 92.46% (+0.01)

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5 65.67% (-0.10)
Under 0.5 34.33% (+0.11)
Over 1.5 33.17% (-0.12)
Under 1.5 66.83% (+0.13)
Over 2.5 12.67% (-0.10)
Under 2.5 87.33% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 4.14% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 95.86% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Watford 44.79%
Draw 24.07%
Crawley Town 31.14%
Watford
1-0 @ 9.44% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 9.08% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 7.06% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.74% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.92% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.08%
Other @ 7.47% (-0.02)
Total : 44.79%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.09%
0-0 @ 6.44% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.28% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.19% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.07%
Total : 24.07%
Crawley Town
0-1 @ 7.59% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 7.34% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.8% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.99% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.34% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.01% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.07% (-0.05)
Total : 31.14%