/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fvallog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fnewlog.png)
-
Filip Ugrinic
5'
-
José Gayà
35'
-
Yoane Wissa
52'
-
Yoane Wissa
76'
-
Jacob Murphy
87'
Valencia vs Newcastle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2026%2F07%2Ficonsport-170761-0042-1-6a6bb46cc9de0614955670.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 37.76%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 36.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.01%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 0-1 (8.65%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
Result
Valencia
37.76%
▼
(-0.02)
Draw
25.89%
▲
(+0.02)
Newcastle United
36.3%
▼
(-0.06)
Both Teams to Score:
55.61%
▲
(+0.01)
Goals
Over 1.5
74.9%
Under 1.5
25.1%
Over 2.5
50.94%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 2.5
49.06%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 3.5
29.19%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 3.5
70.81%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 4.5
16.01%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 4.5
83.99%
▼
(-0.05)
First Half Winner
Valencia
28.49%
▼
(-0.02)
Draw
43.83%
▲
(+0.04)
Newcastle United
27.68%
▼
(-0.02)
Team To Score First
Valencia
46.11%
▲
(+0.09)
No Goal
7.41%
▼
(-0.02)
Newcastle United
46.48%
▼
(-0.08)
Corners
Over 8
60.94%
▼
(-0.11)
Equal 8
11.69%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 8
27.37%
▲
(+0.13)
Over 9
48.68%
▼
(-0.10)
Equal 9
12.25%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 9
39.06%
▲
(+0.11)
Over 10.5
37%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 10.5
63%
▲
(+0.07)
Valencia Goals
Over 1.5
37.42%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 1.5
62.58%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 2.5
15.25%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 2.5
84.75%
▼
(-0.05)
Over 3.5
4.71%
Under 3.5
95.29%
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5
70.16%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
29.84%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 1.5
36.6%
Under 1.5
63.4%
Over 2.5
14.81%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 2.5
85.19%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 3.5
5.39%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 3.5
94.61%
▼
(-0.02)
Score analysis
Valencia
37.76%
Draw
25.9%
Newcastle United
36.31%
Valencia
1-0
@
9.01%
▼
(-0.02)
2-1 @ 8.33% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.01% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.35% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.68%
3-2 @ 2.68% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 4.7%
Total : 37.76%
2-1 @ 8.33% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.01% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.35% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.68%
3-2 @ 2.68% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 4.7%
Total : 37.76%
Draw
1-1
@
12.23%
0-0 @ 7.41% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.42% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 25.9%
0-0 @ 7.41% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.42% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 25.9%
Newcastle United
0-1
@
8.65%
1-2 @ 7.98% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 5.71% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.43% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.75%
2-3 @ 2.41% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 5.38% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 36.31%
1-2 @ 7.98% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 5.71% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.43% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.75%
2-3 @ 2.41% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 5.38% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 36.31%