Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston River win with a probability of 37.39%. A win for Fenix had a probability of 33.97% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston River win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.75%) and 0-2 (7.07%). The likeliest Fenix win was 1-0 (11.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boston River would win this match.