Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 37.4%. A win for Boston River had a probability of 34.31% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.85%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Boston River win was 1-0 (11.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.