Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 46.24%. A win for Rentistas had a probability of 27.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest Rentistas win was 0-1 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Montevideo Wanderers in this match.