Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 42.5%. A win for Boston River had a probability of 29.86% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Boston River win was 0-1 (9.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.