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Union Berlin logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 34
May 22, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Försterei
Leipzig logo

Union Berlin
2 - 1
RB Leipzig

Friedrich (67'), Kruse (90+2')
Trimmel (53'), Schlotterbeck (76')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kluivert (55')
Sabitzer (25')

Preview: Union Berlin vs. RB Leipzig - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Union Berlin entertain RB Leipzig in the Bundesliga on Saturday, with the hosts needing to win to guarantee their place in next season's inaugural UEFA Europa Conference League.

Leipzig, meanwhile, will finish in second place regardless of how they perform in Julian Nagelsmann's last game in charge of the club ahead of his summer switch to champions Bayern Munich.


Match preview

FC Union Berlin's Joel Pohjanpalo scores their first goal on 15 May, 2021© Reuters

Given that this is still only Union Berlin's second ever season in the Bundesliga in the history of the club, the idea of competing in Europe next season must feel like a dream to their fanbase.

While bigger clubs may be turning their nose up at the prospect of competing in UEFA's newly launched Conference League, that will certainly not be the case for a club the size of Union Berlin, whose only previous European venture was a second-round defeat to Bulgarian side Litex Lovech in the old UEFA Cup in the 2001-02 campaign.

Indeed, Urs Fischer's side have performed above expectations all season long, occupying a top-half position for the vast majority of the campaign.

They showed their trademark spirit to earn a point at Bayer Leverkusen last weekend via Joel Pohjanpalo's late equaliser, although failing to win that match did mean that their dreams of competing in Europe's secondary competition for the second time were ended.

With three sides below them in the table all capable of leapfrogging them on the final day, Union Berlin must beat Leipzig to guarantee their qualification for Europe, while a draw would realistically be enough to secure a maiden top-half position.

RB Leipzig coach Julian Nagelsmann pictured on February 16, 2021© Reuters

While Leipzig have very little to play for when they arrive in Berlin on Saturday, Nagelsmann's players are likely to want to give the 33-year-old a strong send off after a successful two year period in charge of the club.

This season has ultimately ended in disappointment, with Leipzig finishing as runners-up in both the Bundesliga and the DFB-Pokal, but Nagelsmann's time at the club will be seen as nothing but a success, particularly having reached the semi-finals of the Champions League last season.

Their character and quality was on full display last weekend when overturning a two-goal deficit against Champions League-chasing Wolfsburg, with second-half strikes from Justin Kluivert and Marcel Sabitzer ensuring their side are guaranteed to finish second in the Bundesliga for only the second time in the club's history.

Having only won two of their last seven league games in a faltering end to the campaign, Nagelsmann will be keen to show his future club Bayern what they will be gaining with him on board by ending the season in style in Berlin.

Union Berlin Bundesliga form:
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • D

RB Leipzig Bundesliga form:
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • D

RB Leipzig form (all competitions):
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • D



Team News

Union Berlin's Robert Andrich celebrates scoring their second goal with teammates on January 9, 2021© Reuters

Union Berlin have been dealt a major blow by Robert Andrich picking up a suspension after receiving his fifth booking of the season against Leverkusen last weekend.

Sebastien Griesbeck is likely to fill the void in the engine room.

Jakob Busk, Florian Hubner, Grischa Promel, Cedric Teuchert, Leon Dajaku and Anthony Ujah may all miss out due to injury.

It remains to be seen whether Dominik Szoboszlai will finally make his debut for Leipzig, meanwhile, with the Hungary winger back in training after recovering from the groin injury which has kept him sidelined since joining from Red Bull Salzburg in January.

Szoboszlai is unlikely to be risked ahead of Euro 2020, though, with Peter Gulacsi, Angelino, Marcel Halstenberg, Dani Olmo, Lazar Samardzic and Tyler Adams all likely to be unavailable, too.

Konrad Laimer made his first start of the season after missing the vast majority of the campaign with a serious knee injury, and should be selected once again as he looks to gain match fitness to hit the ground running next season.

Union Berlin possible starting lineup:
Luthe; Friedrich, Knoche, Schlotterbeck; Trimmel, Gentner, Griesbeck, Lenz; Ingvartsen; Pohjanpalo, Kruse

RB Leipzig possible starting lineup:
Martinez; Klostermann, Upamecano, Orban; Mukiele, Sabitzer, Kampl, Haidara; Nkunku, Forsberg; Poulsen


SM words green background

We say: Union Berlin 1-1 RB Leipzig

We can envisage a share of the spoils between these two sides on Saturday, with the hosts hoping Borussia Monchengladbach fail to beat relegation threatened Werder Bremen to help them secure a European spot should that prove to be the case.

Leipzig are unlikely to be on the beach just yet, though, as they look to provide Nagelsmann with the departure he deserves.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data



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Written by
Brett Curtis

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 55.39%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 22.7% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.54%) and 0-2 (8.33%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 2-1 (5.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig

Union Berlin
33.3%
Draw
19.4%
RB Leipzig
47.2%
72
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Union Berlin's Robert Andrich celebrates scoring their second goal with teammates on January 9, 2021
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rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern13103041103133
2Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1383233181527
3Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1375130201026
4RB Leipzig137332114724
5Wolfsburg136342922721
6Borussia DortmundDortmund136342420421
7Freiburg136341717021
8Stuttgart135532623320
9Mainz 05Mainz135442318519
10Werder Bremen135442024-419
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach135351918118
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin134451214-216
13Augsburg134451625-916
14Hoffenheim133461825-713
15St Pauli133281117-611
16Heidenheim133191728-1110
17Holstein Kiel1312101333-205
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1302111034-242


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