Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Veres win with a probability of 53.2%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Obolon Kyiv had a probability of 21.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Veres win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.18%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Obolon Kyiv win it was 0-1 (7.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.