Coppa Italia
Aug 15, 2026 5.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Dacia Arena
  • Jesper Karlström  32' yellowcard
  • Keinan Davis 35' goal
  • Nicolò Zaniolo 53' yellowcard
  • Adam Buksa 73' yellowcard

Udinese vs Calcio Padova - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Udinese

All competitions

Calcio Padova

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 43.19%. A win for Calcio Padova had a probability of 29.42% and a draw had a probability of 27.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Calcio Padova win was 0-1 (8.6%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result

Udinese 43.19%
Draw 27.44%
Calcio Padova 29.42%

Both Teams to Score: 

51.38%

Goals

Over 1.5 71.47% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 28.53% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 46.95%
Under 2.5 53.05%
Over 3.5 25.79% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 74.21% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 13.97% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 86.03% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Udinese 32.83% (-0.02)
Draw 44.08% (-0.03)
Calcio Padova 23.09% (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Udinese 54.21% (-0.01)
No Goal 8.57% (+0.01)
Calcio Padova 37.22%

Corners

Over 8 61.55%
Equal 8 11.71%
Under 8 26.75%
Over 9 49.2%
Equal 9 12.34%
Under 9 38.46%
Over 10.5 37.38%
Under 10.5 62.62%

Udinese Goals

Over 1.5 40.04% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 59.96% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 16.99%
Under 2.5 83.01%
Over 3.5 5.47% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 94.53% (+0.02)

Calcio Padova Goals

Over 0.5 63.84% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 36.16% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 29.83% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 70.17% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 10.14% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 89.86% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 3.1% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 96.9% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Udinese 43.18%
Draw 27.43%
Calcio Padova 29.42%
Udinese
1-0 @ 11.39% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 8.68% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.28%
3-1 @ 4.22%
3-0 @ 3.64%
3-2 @ 2.66% (+0.02)
Other @ 5.31%
Total : 43.18%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.51%
0-0 @ 8.57% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.19% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.16% (-0.02)
Total : 27.43%
Calcio Padova
0-1 @ 8.6% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 7.1% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.74% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.4% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.74%
Other @ 2.94% (-0.02)
Total : 29.42%